========================================================== T H E P A P E R T R A I L Picks committed before kickoff. Graded in public. ========================================================== Week 6 · 2026 season · built 2026-10-15 CT SHA-256 of this file is published before the first kickoff. If the file changes, the hash changes. ---------------------------------------------------------- Model and market probabilities read as (model N · X% vs mkt Y%). A blank market figure means no price was logged for that pick. The badge on each pick is that market’s record: Untested under 40, Learning 40–100, Calibrated 100+. ---------------------------------------------------------- BEST BETS (144) ARI @ LAR Elijah Higgins — Rec yds OVER 10.5 (model 14.5 · 59.9% vs mkt 50.0%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number and the game script points his way. Jacoby Brissett — Completions OVER 23.5 (model 26.2 · 59.7% vs mkt 49.3%) -112 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — the game script points his way. Kyren Williams — Rush yds OVER 69.5 (model 74.7 · 58.3% vs mkt 49.9%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — the game script points his way and a soft matchup for the run game. Trey McBride — Rec yds OVER 64.5 (model 68.9 · 56.5% vs mkt 50.1%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — the game script points his way. BAL @ CLE Moneyline BAL (model 66.3% vs mkt 60.1%) -155 [Learning 78/100] We make this side more likely to win than the price implies. Derrick Henry — Rush yds OVER 89.5 (model 97.1 · 57.0% vs mkt 50.0%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number and the game script points his way. Deshaun Watson — Completions OVER 19.5 (model 20.5 · 58.7% vs mkt 50.8%) -134 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — the game script points his way. Deshaun Watson — Pass att OVER 30.5 (model 32.2 · 61.8% vs mkt 47.7%) -103 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — the game script points his way. Deshaun Watson — Pass yds OVER 196.5 (model 213.9 · 62.9% vs mkt 50.0%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — the game script points his way. BUF @ LV Ashton Jeanty — Rush att UNDER 14.5 (model 13.7 · 55.7% vs mkt 49.0%) -111 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script works against him and a tough matchup for the run game. Ashton Jeanty — Rush yds UNDER 54.5 (model 48.1 · 58.0% vs mkt 50.0%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — the game script works against him and a tough matchup for the run game. Brock Bowers — Rec yds UNDER 78.5 (model 70.8 · 59.0% vs mkt 49.9%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — the game script points his way, he is carrying a questionable tag and with only a little of this season behind him. Dalton Kincaid — Rec yds UNDER 47.5 (model 40.8 · 57.5% vs mkt 50.0%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — the game script works against him. DJ Moore — Rec yds UNDER 49.5 (model 40.5 · 58.4% vs mkt 50.0%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number, the game script works against him and he is carrying a questionable tag. James Cook — Rush yds OVER 91.5 (model 100.9 · 58.8% vs mkt 49.9%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number and the game script points his way. Josh Allen — Completions UNDER 20.5 (model 17.5 · 67.1% vs mkt 48.1%) -105 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number and the game script works against him. Josh Allen — Pass att UNDER 30.5 (model 25.9 · 69.4% vs mkt 49.6%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number and the game script works against him. Josh Allen — Pass yds UNDER 238.5 (model 212.3 · 62.3% vs mkt 50.0%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — the game script works against him. Josh Allen — Rush yds OVER 32.5 (model 36.8 · 57.1% vs mkt 49.9%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number and the game script points his way. Kirk Cousins — Completions OVER 22.5 (model 23.7 · 59.5% vs mkt 49.2%) -111 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — the game script points his way and a tough matchup for the passing game. Kirk Cousins — Pass yds OVER 241.5 (model 264.9 · 62.6% vs mkt 50.0%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — the game script points his way and a tough matchup for the passing game. Kirk Cousins — Rush yds UNDER 1.5 (model 0.4 · 91.0% vs mkt 56.6%) -178 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number, the game script works against him and a tough matchup for the run game. CAR @ PHI Chuba Hubbard — Rec yds UNDER 17.5 (model 15 · 57.5% vs mkt 50.0%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — the game script works against him and a soft matchup for receivers. Chuba Hubbard — Rush att UNDER 17.5 (model 14 · 72.1% vs mkt 50.3%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number, the game script points his way and a soft matchup for the run game. Chuba Hubbard — Rush yds UNDER 69.5 (model 57 · 65.9% vs mkt 50.0%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number, the game script points his way and a soft matchup for the run game. CHI @ ATL Moneyline CHI (model 63.7% vs mkt 53.9%) -126 [Learning 78/100] We make this side more likely to win than the price implies. Bijan Robinson — Rush att UNDER 18.5 (model 17.1 · 62.1% vs mkt 50.4%) -124 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — the game script works against him and a tough matchup for the run game. Caleb Williams — Completions UNDER 19.5 (model 18.3 · 62.2% vs mkt 50.0%) -113 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — he is carrying a questionable tag, the game script works against him and with only a little of this season behind him. Caleb Williams — Pass att UNDER 32.5 (model 30.6 · 63.9% vs mkt 50.0%) -113 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — he is carrying a questionable tag, the game script works against him and with only a little of this season behind him. Caleb Williams — Pass yds UNDER 225.5 (model 212.6 · 59.8% vs mkt 50.1%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — he is carrying a questionable tag, the game script works against him and with only a little of this season behind him. Cole Kmet — Rec yds OVER 9.5 (model 12.2 · 59.2% vs mkt 50.1%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script works against him and a tough matchup for receivers. Colston Loveland — Rec yds UNDER 36.5 (model 31.7 · 56.5% vs mkt 50.0%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — the game script works against him and a tough matchup for receivers. Kalif Raymond — Rec yds OVER 24.5 (model 32.6 · 60.4% vs mkt 50.3%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script works against him and a tough matchup for receivers. Kyle Pitts — Rec yds OVER 28.5 (model 35.3 · 59.2% vs mkt 50.0%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script points his way and a soft matchup for receivers. DAL @ GB Bo Melton — Rec yds UNDER 17.5 (model 10.5 · 69.2% vs mkt 50.0%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number, the game script works against him and a tough matchup for receivers. Dak Prescott — Completions OVER 23.5 (model 25 · 59.6% vs mkt 52.1%) -132 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — the game script points his way and a soft matchup for the passing game. Dak Prescott — Pass att OVER 36.5 (model 37.9 · 57.1% vs mkt 47.9%) -104 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — the game script points his way and a soft matchup for the passing game. George Pickens — Rec yds OVER 67.5 (model 73.9 · 56.3% vs mkt 49.9%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script points his way and a soft matchup for receivers. Javonte Williams — Rec yds UNDER 14.5 (model 12.3 · 58.8% vs mkt 50.1%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number, the game script points his way and a tough matchup for receivers. Javonte Williams — Rush att UNDER 16.5 (model 14.4 · 71.7% vs mkt 49.7%) -127 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — the game script works against him and a tough matchup for the run game. Javonte Williams — Rush yds UNDER 70.5 (model 61.1 · 62.4% vs mkt 50.0%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — the game script works against him and a tough matchup for the run game. Jordan Love — Completions UNDER 21.5 (model 20.1 · 59.7% vs mkt 47.5%) -109 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — the game script works against him and a tough matchup for the passing game. Jordan Love — Pass att UNDER 33.5 (model 31.6 · 58.4% vs mkt 46.9%) +100 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — the game script works against him and a tough matchup for the passing game. Jordan Love — Pass yds UNDER 266.5 (model 244.8 · 60.0% vs mkt 50.0%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — the game script works against him and a tough matchup for the passing game. MarShawn Lloyd — Rush att UNDER 11.5 (model 8.9 · 74.9% vs mkt 51.9%) -122 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number and the game script points his way. MarShawn Lloyd — Rush yds UNDER 42.5 (model 28.7 · 76.8% vs mkt 49.8%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number and the game script points his way. Matthew Golden — Rec yds UNDER 65.5 (model 47.2 · 68.0% vs mkt 49.9%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number, the game script works against him and a tough matchup for receivers. HOU @ JAX Moneyline JAX (model 73.3% vs mkt 60.1%) -162 [Learning 78/100] We make this side more likely to win than the price implies. Bhayshul Tuten — Rush att UNDER 16.5 (model 12.3 · 74.8% vs mkt 48.6%) -107 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number, the game script points his way and a soft matchup for the run game. Bhayshul Tuten — Rush yds UNDER 63.5 (model 46.8 · 72.3% vs mkt 49.9%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number, the game script points his way and a soft matchup for the run game. Brian Thomas Jr — Rec yds OVER 17.5 (model 26.8 · 68.0% vs mkt 50.6%) -118 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script works against him and a soft matchup for receivers. C.J. Stroud — Completions OVER 22.5 (model 23 · 53.4% vs mkt 46.7%) +100 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — the game script points his way and a soft matchup for the passing game. Chris Rodriguez Jr. — Rush yds OVER 16.5 (model 20.4 · 60.1% vs mkt 50.4%) -116 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script points his way and a soft matchup for the run game. Dalton Schultz — Rec yds OVER 30.5 (model 38.4 · 61.9% vs mkt 50.1%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script points his way and a soft matchup for receivers. Jakobi Meyers — Rec yds OVER 32.5 (model 37.3 · 58.8% vs mkt 50.1%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script works against him and a soft matchup for receivers. Josh Cameron — Rec yds OVER 15.5 (model 19.1 · 59.3% vs mkt 49.9%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script works against him and a soft matchup for receivers. Kayshon Boutte — Rec yds OVER 24.5 (model 28.6 · 58.0% vs mkt 49.7%) -112 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script points his way and a soft matchup for receivers. Trevor Lawrence — Pass att UNDER 31.5 (model 30.5 · 55.7% vs mkt 48.8%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — the game script works against him and a soft matchup for the passing game. Trevor Lawrence — Rush yds OVER 12.5 (model 15.6 · 60.4% vs mkt 50.1%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script points his way and a soft matchup for the run game. Woody Marks — Rec yds UNDER 13.5 (model 10.8 · 57.8% vs mkt 49.9%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number and the game script points his way. Woody Marks — Rush att UNDER 14.5 (model 11 · 70.7% vs mkt 49.1%) -109 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number and the game script works against him. Woody Marks — Rush yds UNDER 47.5 (model 38.8 · 63.1% vs mkt 50.1%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number and the game script works against him. LAC @ KC Justin Herbert — Completions OVER 17.5 (model 19.9 · 65.4% vs mkt 52.3%) -123 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number and the game script points his way. Justin Herbert — Pass att OVER 30.5 (model 32.5 · 59.2% vs mkt 49.1%) -109 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — the game script points his way. Justin Herbert — Pass yds OVER 191.5 (model 218.7 · 64.2% vs mkt 50.1%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number and the game script points his way. Kenneth Walker III — Rush att OVER 19.5 (model 21.3 · 69.9% vs mkt 47.1%) -105 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number and the game script points his way. Kenneth Walker III — Rush yds OVER 90.5 (model 118.5 · 73.3% vs mkt 49.9%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number and the game script points his way. Kimani Vidal — Rush yds OVER 16.5 (model 20.7 · 56.5% vs mkt 50.0%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number and the game script works against him. Omarion Hampton — Rush yds OVER 31.5 (model 40 · 63.7% vs mkt 50.0%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number and the game script works against him. Patrick Mahomes — Completions UNDER 20.5 (model 19.3 · 58.2% vs mkt 49.9%) -119 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — the game script works against him and a tough matchup for the passing game. Patrick Mahomes — Rush yds OVER 14.5 (model 18.4 · 58.9% vs mkt 50.3%) -117 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script points his way and a tough matchup for the run game. Travis Kelce — Rec yds UNDER 54.5 (model 47.7 · 59.6% vs mkt 50.0%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — the game script works against him and a tough matchup for receivers. Xavier Worthy — Rec yds UNDER 47.5 (model 36.8 · 67.4% vs mkt 50.0%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number, the game script works against him and a tough matchup for receivers. NO @ NYG Moneyline NYG (model 56.1% vs mkt 47.9%) +100 [Learning 78/100] We make this side more likely to win than the price implies. Bryce Lance — Rec yds UNDER 12.5 (model 9.8 · 57.4% vs mkt 50.1%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number, a tough matchup for receivers and the game script works against him. Cam Skattebo — Rec yds OVER 11.5 (model 15.2 · 60.9% vs mkt 50.1%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script points his way and a soft matchup for receivers. Cam Skattebo — Rush att UNDER 14.5 (model 13.9 · 53.7% vs mkt 46.5%) -103 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — the game script works against him and a soft matchup for the run game. Cam Skattebo — Rush yds UNDER 58.5 (model 53.9 · 56.9% vs mkt 49.7%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — the game script works against him and a soft matchup for the run game. Chris Olave — Rec yds UNDER 79.5 (model 71.9 · 57.7% vs mkt 50.1%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number, he is carrying a questionable tag and a tough matchup for receivers. Devaughn Vele — Rec yds UNDER 43.5 (model 33.4 · 63.8% vs mkt 50.1%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number, a tough matchup for receivers and the game script works against him. Jameis Winston — Rush yds OVER 4.5 (model 7 · 64.1% vs mkt 50.0%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number and the game script works against him. Noah Fant — Rec yds OVER 10.5 (model 13.1 · 57.8% vs mkt 49.9%) -113 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number, a tough matchup for receivers and the game script works against him. NYJ @ NE Moneyline NE (model 81.9% vs mkt 75.0%) -325 [Learning 78/100] We make this side more likely to win than the price implies. Drake Maye — Completions UNDER 19.5 (model 18.3 · 58.7% vs mkt 45.6%) +105 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — the game script works against him. Drake Maye — Pass att UNDER 30.5 (model 27.4 · 65.6% vs mkt 50.6%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — the game script works against him. Geno Smith — Completions OVER 20.5 (model 22.1 · 57.0% vs mkt 51.0%) -121 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — the game script points his way. Geno Smith — Pass att OVER 30.5 (model 32.3 · 56.9% vs mkt 50.7%) -116 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — the game script points his way. Geno Smith — Pass yds OVER 218.5 (model 235.3 · 58.9% vs mkt 50.0%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — the game script points his way. Rhamondre Stevenson — Rush att UNDER 16.5 (model 12.2 · 83.4% vs mkt 48.3%) -106 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number, the game script points his way and a tough matchup for the run game. Rhamondre Stevenson — Rush yds UNDER 70.5 (model 55.1 · 69.4% vs mkt 50.0%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number, the game script points his way and a tough matchup for the run game. PIT @ TB Aaron Rodgers — Completions UNDER 21.5 (model 20.4 · 58.4% vs mkt 51.1%) -120 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — the game script works against him. Aaron Rodgers — Pass yds UNDER 231.5 (model 218.4 · 59.4% vs mkt 49.9%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — the game script works against him. Bucky Irving — Rec yds OVER 11.5 (model 14.2 · 56.1% vs mkt 50.0%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script points his way and a tough matchup for receivers. Bucky Irving — Rush att UNDER 16.5 (model 14.6 · 64.8% vs mkt 51.8%) -121 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — the game script works against him and a tough matchup for the run game. Chris Godwin — Rec yds OVER 26.5 (model 31.9 · 59.3% vs mkt 50.4%) -118 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number and the game script points his way. DK Metcalf — Rec yds UNDER 51.5 (model 44.3 · 57.8% vs mkt 49.9%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — the game script works against him. Germie Bernard — Rec yds UNDER 40.5 (model 29.3 · 64.3% vs mkt 49.9%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number and the game script works against him. Jalon Daniels — Pass att UNDER 27.5 (model 23.8 · 60.9% vs mkt 49.9%) -119 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number, the game script points his way and with only a little of this season behind him. Jalon Daniels — Pass yds UNDER 176.5 (model 150.6 · 60.3% vs mkt 49.9%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number, the game script points his way and with only a little of this season behind him. Jalon Daniels — Rush yds UNDER 37.5 (model 31.4 · 60.5% vs mkt 50.0%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number, the game script works against him and with only a little of this season behind him. Pat Freiermuth — Rec yds UNDER 35.5 (model 29.8 · 59.5% vs mkt 49.9%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number and the game script works against him. SEA @ DEN Moneyline SEA (model 66.8% vs mkt 55.4%) -132 [Learning 78/100] We make this side more likely to win than the price implies. Bo Nix — Completions OVER 21.5 (model 22.1 · 54.8% vs mkt 46.7%) -105 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — the game script points his way. Bo Nix — Pass att OVER 33.5 (model 35.3 · 59.6% vs mkt 52.5%) -140 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — the game script points his way. Bo Nix — Pass yds OVER 197.5 (model 214.6 · 59.7% vs mkt 49.5%) -113 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — the game script points his way. Bo Nix — Rush yds UNDER 14.5 (model 12.6 · 55.7% vs mkt 48.9%) -110 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — the game script works against him. Courtland Sutton — Rec yds OVER 32.5 (model 38.3 · 57.7% vs mkt 50.0%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number and the game script points his way. Emanuel Wilson — Rush att UNDER 17.5 (model 15.4 · 59.6% vs mkt 48.3%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number and the game script points his way. Emanuel Wilson — Rush yds UNDER 66.5 (model 55.1 · 61.4% vs mkt 50.1%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number and the game script points his way. Evan Engram — Rec yds OVER 21.5 (model 24.9 · 57.4% vs mkt 49.9%) -113 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number and the game script points his way. George Holani — Rush yds UNDER 13.5 (model 11 · 59.4% vs mkt 49.9%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number and the game script points his way. J.K. Dobbins — Rush yds OVER 47.5 (model 51.7 · 57.0% vs mkt 49.8%) -113 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script works against him and a soft matchup for the run game. Jaylen Waddle — Rec yds UNDER 47.5 (model 40.3 · 56.0% vs mkt 50.0%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number and the game script points his way. Rashid Shaheed — Rec yds UNDER 20.5 (model 16.8 · 57.2% vs mkt 50.0%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — the game script works against him and a tough matchup for receivers. RJ Harvey — Rush yds OVER 14.5 (model 18.8 · 59.2% vs mkt 49.5%) -113 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script works against him and a soft matchup for the run game. Sam Darnold — Completions UNDER 19.5 (model 17.8 · 60.3% vs mkt 53.9%) -135 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number, the game script works against him and a tough matchup for the passing game. Sam Darnold — Pass att UNDER 30.5 (model 27.3 · 63.1% vs mkt 50.1%) -120 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number, the game script works against him and a tough matchup for the passing game. Troy Franklin — Rec yds OVER 17.5 (model 21.6 · 57.3% vs mkt 50.2%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number and the game script points his way. TEN @ IND Moneyline IND (model 81.2% vs mkt 74.0%) -310 [Learning 78/100] We make this side more likely to win than the price implies. Calvin Ridley — Rec yds OVER 13.5 (model 22.4 · 65.0% vs mkt 50.2%) -117 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script points his way and a soft matchup for receivers. Cam Ward — Completions OVER 19.5 (model 21.2 · 60.7% vs mkt 52.2%) -125 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — the game script points his way and a soft matchup for the passing game. Cam Ward — Pass att OVER 31.5 (model 34.3 · 62.3% vs mkt 50.7%) -127 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — the game script points his way and a soft matchup for the passing game. Cam Ward — Rush yds UNDER 11.5 (model 9.1 · 59.4% vs mkt 49.6%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — the game script works against him and a soft matchup for the run game. Daniel Jones — Completions UNDER 21.5 (model 19.4 · 65.9% vs mkt 46.2%) -102 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — the game script works against him. Daniel Jones — Pass att UNDER 30.5 (model 29.2 · 56.1% vs mkt 49.4%) -120 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — the game script works against him. Daniel Jones — Pass yds UNDER 234.5 (model 207.7 · 65.7% vs mkt 50.0%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — the game script works against him. Elic Ayomanor — Rec yds OVER 15.5 (model 25 · 70.1% vs mkt 50.0%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script points his way and a soft matchup for receivers. Jonathan Taylor — Rush att OVER 19.5 (model 19.9 · 53.6% vs mkt 47.1%) -101 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — the game script points his way. Josh Downs — Rec yds UNDER 49.5 (model 39.3 · 66.2% vs mkt 50.0%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number, the game script works against him and he is carrying a questionable tag. Keenan Allen — Rec yds UNDER 39.5 (model 34 · 59.1% vs mkt 50.0%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — the game script works against him. Tony Pollard — Rush att UNDER 14.5 (model 12.8 · 64.4% vs mkt 53.9%) -135 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — the game script works against him. Tyler Warren — Rec yds UNDER 50.5 (model 41.1 · 64.6% vs mkt 50.0%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number and the game script works against him. WSH @ SF Moneyline SF (model 88.3% vs mkt 78.9%) -410 [Learning 78/100] We make this side more likely to win than the price implies. Brock Purdy — Completions UNDER 21.5 (model 18.9 · 74.5% vs mkt 50.6%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — the game script works against him and a tough matchup for the passing game. Brock Purdy — Pass att UNDER 30.5 (model 27.1 · 73.3% vs mkt 48.8%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — the game script works against him and a tough matchup for the passing game. Brock Purdy — Pass yds UNDER 245.5 (model 217.9 · 67.6% vs mkt 50.1%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — the game script works against him and a tough matchup for the passing game. Brock Purdy — Rush yds OVER 17.5 (model 20.2 · 57.2% vs mkt 50.0%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script points his way and a tough matchup for the run game. Christian McCaffrey — Rec yds UNDER 39.5 (model 35.2 · 57.3% vs mkt 50.1%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — the game script works against him and a soft matchup for receivers. Christian McCaffrey — Rush att OVER 14.5 (model 16 · 61.0% vs mkt 51.2%) -125 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — the game script points his way and a soft matchup for the run game. Christian McCaffrey — Rush yds OVER 58.5 (model 65.4 · 59.0% vs mkt 49.9%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script points his way and a soft matchup for the run game. George Kittle — Rec yds UNDER 64.5 (model 51.8 · 65.0% vs mkt 50.0%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number, the game script works against him and a tough matchup for receivers. Jayden Daniels — Pass att UNDER 30.5 (model 29.4 · 55.9% vs mkt 48.4%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number, the game script points his way, a tough matchup for the passing game and with only a little of this season behind him. Jayden Daniels — Pass yds UNDER 201.5 (model 191.6 · 57.4% vs mkt 50.0%) -115 [Untested 0/40] A real disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number, the game script points his way, a tough matchup for the passing game and with only a little of this season behind him. Mike Evans — Rec yds UNDER 72.5 (model 58.4 · 67.3% vs mkt 49.9%) -114 [Untested 0/40] A clear disagreement with the price — his own recent work sits below this number, the game script works against him and a tough matchup for receivers. WORTH A LOOK (54) ARI @ LAR Blake Corum — Rush att UNDER 9.5 (model 9.1 · 54.4% vs mkt 50.9%) -125 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — his own recent work sits below this number, the game script points his way and a soft matchup for the run game. Jacoby Brissett — Pass att OVER 37.5 (model 40.6 · 58.3% vs mkt 52.8%) -126 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — the game script points his way. Jacoby Brissett — Pass yds OVER 242.5 (model 255.4 · 54.7% vs mkt 49.9%) -114 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — the game script points his way. Kyren Williams — Rec yds UNDER 22.5 (model 20.6 · 54.0% vs mkt 50.1%) -115 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script works against him and a soft matchup for receivers. Kyren Williams — Rush att OVER 14.5 (model 15 · 55.5% vs mkt 50.0%) -115 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — the game script points his way and a soft matchup for the run game. Matthew Stafford — Pass yds UNDER 279.5 (model 271 · 54.0% vs mkt 50.0%) -115 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — the game script works against him. BAL @ CLE Denzel Boston — Rec yds OVER 54.5 (model 56.9 · 54.0% vs mkt 50.1%) -114 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script points his way and he is carrying a questionable tag. BUF @ LV James Cook — Rush att OVER 18.5 (model 19.3 · 55.1% vs mkt 51.1%) -120 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — the game script points his way. Josh Allen — Rush att OVER 7.5 (model 7.5 · 50.5% vs mkt 46.2%) +103 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — the game script points his way. Tre Tucker — Rec yds OVER 38.5 (model 42.7 · 55.7% vs mkt 50.0%) -115 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script points his way and a tough matchup for receivers. CAR @ PHI Moneyline PHI (model 57.8% vs mkt 54.0%) -127 [Learning 78/100] A small lean on the price, no more than that. Bryce Young — Rush yds UNDER 10.5 (model 9.5 · 53.6% vs mkt 50.0%) -114 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — a soft matchup for the run game and the game script points his way. Jalen Coker — Rec yds UNDER 55.5 (model 51.6 · 54.6% vs mkt 50.0%) -114 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — a soft matchup for receivers, the game script works against him and with only a little of this season behind him. CHI @ ATL Bijan Robinson — Rec yds OVER 28.5 (model 32.8 · 56.4% vs mkt 50.4%) -118 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script points his way and a tough matchup for receivers. Jahan Dotson — Rec yds OVER 23.5 (model 26.6 · 55.9% vs mkt 50.1%) -115 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script points his way and a soft matchup for receivers. Luther Burden III — Rec yds UNDER 49.5 (model 45.8 · 54.3% vs mkt 50.6%) -118 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — the game script works against him and a tough matchup for receivers. Michael Penix Jr. — Completions UNDER 20.5 (model 19.8 · 56.4% vs mkt 51.1%) -118 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — his own recent work sits below this number, the game script points his way, a soft matchup for the passing game and with only a little of this season behind him. DAL @ GB CeeDee Lamb — Rec yds OVER 80.5 (model 85 · 53.9% vs mkt 50.1%) -115 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script points his way and a soft matchup for receivers. Christian Watson — Rec yds UNDER 72.5 (model 67.7 · 55.0% vs mkt 49.9%) -114 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script works against him and a tough matchup for receivers. Dak Prescott — Pass yds OVER 273.5 (model 283.5 · 55.6% vs mkt 49.9%) -114 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — the game script points his way and a soft matchup for the passing game. Tucker Kraft — Rec yds UNDER 47.5 (model 43.3 · 54.6% vs mkt 49.9%) -114 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — the game script works against him and a tough matchup for receivers. Total OVER 50.5 (model 53.1 · 57.9% vs mkt 51.2%) -115 [Learning 78/100] We land just off the posted total — a lean, not a strong call. HOU @ JAX Brenton Strange — Rec yds OVER 37.5 (model 40.6 · 55.5% vs mkt 50.0%) -115 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script works against him and a soft matchup for receivers. C.J. Stroud — Pass yds OVER 256.5 (model 264.6 · 54.9% vs mkt 50.0%) -115 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — the game script points his way and a soft matchup for the passing game. C.J. Stroud — Rush yds OVER 9.5 (model 10.7 · 55.3% vs mkt 50.9%) -120 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script works against him and a soft matchup for the run game. Nate Boerkircher — Rec yds OVER 5.5 (model 6.6 · 56.2% vs mkt 50.3%) -117 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — his own recent work sits above this number, he is carrying a questionable tag and the game script works against him. Nico Collins — Rec yds OVER 70.5 (model 74.7 · 55.6% vs mkt 50.0%) -115 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script points his way, a soft matchup for receivers and with only a little of this season behind him. Parker Washington — Rec yds UNDER 61.5 (model 57.9 · 53.6% vs mkt 49.9%) -114 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — the game script works against him and a soft matchup for receivers. Trevor Lawrence — Rush att OVER 3.5 (model 3.8 · 54.0% vs mkt 49.3%) -110 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script points his way and a soft matchup for the run game. LAC @ KC Keaton Mitchell — Rush yds OVER 18.5 (model 20.4 · 54.7% vs mkt 50.2%) -116 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — his own recent work sits above this number and the game script works against him. Kenneth Walker III — Rec yds UNDER 20.5 (model 17.9 · 54.5% vs mkt 50.0%) -114 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — the game script works against him. Patrick Mahomes — Pass att UNDER 30.5 (model 29.7 · 54.6% vs mkt 50.9%) -117 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script works against him and a tough matchup for the passing game. NO @ NYG Isaiah Likely — Rec yds OVER 48.5 (model 52.8 · 55.7% vs mkt 50.1%) -115 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — his own recent work sits above this number and the game script points his way. Tyler Shough — Pass att UNDER 34.5 (model 33.3 · 53.5% vs mkt 49.8%) -118 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — a tough matchup for the passing game and the game script works against him. Tyler Shough — Rush yds OVER 10.5 (model 11.7 · 53.8% vs mkt 50.0%) -114 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — his own recent work sits above this number, a tough matchup for the run game and the game script points his way. NYJ @ NE Drake Maye — Pass yds UNDER 232.5 (model 225.6 · 54.9% vs mkt 50.0%) -114 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — his own recent work sits above this number and the game script works against him. PIT @ TB Bucky Irving — Rush yds UNDER 64.5 (model 61 · 54.4% vs mkt 49.9%) -114 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script works against him and a tough matchup for the run game. Cade Otton — Rec yds OVER 29.5 (model 31.9 · 54.0% vs mkt 49.9%) -114 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — his own recent work sits above this number and the game script points his way. Emeka Egbuka — Rec yds OVER 34.5 (model 38.6 · 55.1% vs mkt 50.0%) -115 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — his own recent work sits above this number and the game script points his way. Jalon Daniels — Completions UNDER 17.5 (model 15.7 · 56.5% vs mkt 51.8%) -130 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — his own recent work sits below this number, the game script points his way and with only a little of this season behind him. SEA @ DEN Cooper Kupp — Rec yds OVER 21.5 (model 24.3 · 56.1% vs mkt 50.6%) -118 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script works against him and a tough matchup for receivers. George Holani — Rec yds UNDER 9.5 (model 8.1 · 55.0% vs mkt 50.9%) -120 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — the game script works against him. J.K. Dobbins — Rush att UNDER 13.5 (model 12.9 · 56.5% vs mkt 51.0%) -125 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — the game script works against him and a soft matchup for the run game. Lil'Jordan Humphrey — Rec yds OVER 6.5 (model 7 · 52.3% vs mkt 48.1%) -108 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script points his way and with only a little of this season behind him. Marvin Mims Jr. — Rec yds OVER 10.5 (model 12 · 54.0% vs mkt 49.7%) -113 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script points his way and with only a little of this season behind him. RJ Harvey — Rec yds OVER 21.5 (model 23.6 · 54.6% vs mkt 50.0%) -113 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script points his way and a soft matchup for receivers. Sam Darnold — Pass yds UNDER 220.5 (model 209.1 · 55.4% vs mkt 49.9%) -114 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — the game script works against him and a tough matchup for the passing game. Sam Darnold — Rush att UNDER 2.5 (model 2.1 · 58.9% vs mkt 54.4%) -134 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — his own recent work sits below this number, the game script points his way and a tough matchup for the run game. TEN @ IND Cam Ward — Pass yds OVER 197.5 (model 205.3 · 55.3% vs mkt 50.0%) -115 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — the game script points his way and a soft matchup for the passing game. Daniel Jones — Rush yds OVER 6.5 (model 7.3 · 53.3% vs mkt 49.3%) -114 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — his own recent work sits above this number and the game script points his way. WSH @ SF Jacory Croskey-Merritt — Rush att UNDER 11.5 (model 10.4 · 60.5% vs mkt 54.6%) -135 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — the game script works against him. Jacory Croskey-Merritt — Rush yds UNDER 39.5 (model 36.6 · 54.2% vs mkt 50.0%) -115 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — his own recent work sits above this number and the game script works against him. Jayden Daniels — Rush yds OVER 34.5 (model 38 · 55.9% vs mkt 49.9%) -114 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — his own recent work sits above this number, the game script works against him, a tough matchup for the run game and with only a little of this season behind him. Rachaad White — Rush yds OVER 20.5 (model 22.4 · 54.4% vs mkt 50.0%) -115 [Untested 0/40] Thin edge, mostly agrees with the market — his own recent work sits above this number and the game script works against him. Passed on 586 other markets the model looked at — 98 thin edge, 22 team change, 338 muted TD, 105 muted receptions, 11 line out of range, 11 no projection, 1 under 3 games. ========================================================== REFUSED (586) — looked at, not picked Nothing below is a bet. These are the markets the model saw and declined, with the reason. They are inside the hash so the list cannot be trimmed after the fact. — TEAM CHANGE — Alex Bachman — Anytime TD [ARI@LAR] Teagan Quitoriano — Anytime TD [ARI@LAR] Nick Vannett — Anytime TD [BAL@CLE] Dameon Pierce — Anytime TD [CAR@PHI] Zavier Scott — Anytime TD [CHI@ATL] Marvin Harrison Jr. — Anytime TD [HOU@JAX] Marvin Harrison Jr. — Rec yds 21.5 [HOU@JAX] Marvin Harrison Jr. — Receptions 1.5 [HOU@JAX] Theo Wease Jr. — Anytime TD [LAC@KC] Charlie Jones — Anytime TD [NO@NYG] J.J. McCarthy — Anytime TD [NO@NYG] J.J. McCarthy — Rush yds 2.5 [NO@NYG] Tim Patrick — Anytime TD [NYJ@NE] Brandon Smith — Anytime TD [PIT@TB] Rico Dowdle — Anytime TD [PIT@TB] Darius Slayton — Anytime TD [TEN@IND] Kylen Granson — Anytime TD [TEN@IND] Michael Carter — Anytime TD [TEN@IND] Pharaoh Brown — Anytime TD [TEN@IND] Brandin Cooks — Anytime TD [WSH@SF] Jack Stoll — Anytime TD [WSH@SF] Van Jefferson — Anytime TD [WSH@SF] — UNDER 3 GAMES — Pierre Strong Jr. — Rush yds 18.5 [DAL@GB] — NO PROJECTION — Reggie Virgil — Anytime TD [ARI@LAR] Ja'Kobi Lane — Anytime TD [BAL@CLE] Skyler Bell — Anytime TD [BUF@LV] Pierre Strong Jr. — Anytime TD [DAL@GB] Brevin Jordan — Anytime TD [HOU@JAX] CJ Williams — Anytime TD [HOU@JAX] Brenen Thompson — Anytime TD [LAC@KC] Omar Cooper Jr. — Anytime TD [NYJ@NE] Eli Heidenreich — Anytime TD [PIT@TB] Montorie Foster Jr. — Anytime TD [SEA@DEN] Will Mallory — Anytime TD [TEN@IND] — LINE OUT OF RANGE — Davis Allen — Receptions 0.5 [ARI@LAR] Jalen Brooks — Rec yds 16.5 [ARI@LAR] Jalen Brooks — Receptions 1.5 [ARI@LAR] Bo Melton — Receptions 1.5 [DAL@GB] KaVontae Turpin — Rec yds 5.5 [DAL@GB] KaVontae Turpin — Receptions 0.5 [DAL@GB] Aaron Rodgers — Rush yds 0.5 [PIT@TB] Jaxon Smith-Njigba — Rush yds 0.5 [SEA@DEN] Rashid Shaheed — Rush yds 1.5 [SEA@DEN] Tory Horton — Rec yds 2.5 [SEA@DEN] Tory Horton — Receptions 0.5 [SEA@DEN] — THIN EDGE — Moneyline [ARI@LAR] Total 50.5 [ARI@LAR] Blake Corum — Rec yds 7.5 [ARI@LAR] Blake Corum — Rush yds 43.5 [ARI@LAR] Colby Parkinson — Rec yds 13.5 [ARI@LAR] Davante Adams — Rec yds 57.5 [ARI@LAR] Davis Allen — Rec yds 7.5 [ARI@LAR] Kendrick Bourne — Rec yds 35.5 [ARI@LAR] Matthew Stafford — Completions 23.5 [ARI@LAR] Matthew Stafford — Pass att 34.5 [ARI@LAR] Michael Wilson — Rec yds 58.5 [ARI@LAR] Puka Nacua — Rec yds 92.5 [ARI@LAR] Tyler Higbee — Rec yds 33.5 [ARI@LAR] Total 40.5 [BAL@CLE] Derrick Henry — Rush att 20.5 [BAL@CLE] Deshaun Watson — Rush yds 28.5 [BAL@CLE] Moneyline [BUF@LV] Total 51.5 [BUF@LV] Ashton Jeanty — Rec yds 24.5 [BUF@LV] James Cook — Rec yds 7.5 [BUF@LV] Kirk Cousins — Pass att 36.5 [BUF@LV] Michael Mayer — Rec yds 27.5 [BUF@LV] Mike Washington Jr. — Rush yds 16.5 [BUF@LV] Ty Johnson — Rec yds 15.5 [BUF@LV] Total 42.5 [CAR@PHI] Bryce Young — Completions 21.5 [CAR@PHI] Bryce Young — Pass att 34.5 [CAR@PHI] Bryce Young — Pass yds 233.5 [CAR@PHI] Darren Waller — Rec yds 27.5 [CAR@PHI] Jalen Hurts — Completions 19.5 [CAR@PHI] Jalen Hurts — Pass att 32.5 [CAR@PHI] Jalen Hurts — Pass yds 202.5 [CAR@PHI] Tetairoa McMillan — Rec yds 64.5 [CAR@PHI] Total 47.5 [CHI@ATL] Bijan Robinson — Rush yds 89.5 [CHI@ATL] Drake London — Rec yds 86.5 [CHI@ATL] Michael Penix Jr. — Pass att 31.5 [CHI@ATL] Michael Penix Jr. — Pass yds 236.5 [CHI@ATL] Rome Odunze — Rec yds 41.5 [CHI@ATL] Zachariah Branch — Rec yds 10.5 [CHI@ATL] Moneyline [DAL@GB] Dak Prescott — Rush yds 10.5 [DAL@GB] Jake Ferguson — Rec yds 26.5 [DAL@GB] Jordan Love — Rush yds 4.5 [DAL@GB] MarShawn Lloyd — Rec yds 10.5 [DAL@GB] Ryan Flournoy — Rec yds 31.5 [DAL@GB] Total 42.5 [HOU@JAX] Bhayshul Tuten — Rec yds 8.5 [HOU@JAX] C.J. Stroud — Pass att 35.5 [HOU@JAX] C.J. Stroud — Rush att 3.5 [HOU@JAX] Trevor Lawrence — Completions 19.5 [HOU@JAX] Trevor Lawrence — Pass yds 227.5 [HOU@JAX] Moneyline [LAC@KC] Total 45.5 [LAC@KC] Emmett Johnson — Rush yds 15.5 [LAC@KC] Justin Herbert — Rush yds 24.5 [LAC@KC] Patrick Mahomes — Pass yds 225.5 [LAC@KC] Total 44.5 [NO@NYG] Darnell Mooney — Rec yds 19.5 [NO@NYG] Jameis Winston — Completions 19.5 [NO@NYG] Jameis Winston — Pass att 31.5 [NO@NYG] Jameis Winston — Pass yds 222.5 [NO@NYG] Juwan Johnson — Rec yds 41.5 [NO@NYG] Malachi Fields — Rec yds 25.5 [NO@NYG] Malik Nabers — Rec yds 71.5 [NO@NYG] Tyler Shough — Completions 22.5 [NO@NYG] Tyler Shough — Pass yds 232.5 [NO@NYG] Total 43.5 [NYJ@NE] Drake Maye — Rush yds 27.5 [NYJ@NE] Garrett Wilson — Rec yds 72.5 [NYJ@NE] Rhamondre Stevenson — Rec yds 19.5 [NYJ@NE] Moneyline [PIT@TB] Total 39 [PIT@TB] Aaron Rodgers — Pass att 33.5 [PIT@TB] Darnell Washington — Rec yds 20.5 [PIT@TB] Total 42.5 [SEA@DEN] AJ Barner — Rec yds 23.5 [SEA@DEN] Bo Nix — Rush att 4.5 [SEA@DEN] Emanuel Wilson — Rec yds 9.5 [SEA@DEN] J.K. Dobbins — Rec yds 4.5 [SEA@DEN] Jaxon Smith-Njigba — Rec yds 92.5 [SEA@DEN] RJ Harvey — Rush att 4.5 [SEA@DEN] Sam Darnold — Rush yds 4.5 [SEA@DEN] Total 43.5 [TEN@IND] Carnell Tate — Rec yds 51.5 [TEN@IND] Gunnar Helm — Rec yds 17.5 [TEN@IND] Jonathan Taylor — Rec yds 17.5 [TEN@IND] Jonathan Taylor — Rush yds 88.5 [TEN@IND] Seth McGowan — Rush yds 14.5 [TEN@IND] Tony Pollard — Rec yds 8.5 [TEN@IND] Tony Pollard — Rush yds 52.5 [TEN@IND] Tyjae Spears — Rec yds 14.5 [TEN@IND] Tyjae Spears — Rush yds 12.5 [TEN@IND] Wan'Dale Robinson — Rec yds 37.5 [TEN@IND] Total 49.5 [WSH@SF] Jayden Daniels — Completions 18.5 [WSH@SF] Kaelon Black — Rush yds 23.5 [WSH@SF] Rachaad White — Rec yds 11.5 [WSH@SF] — MUTED TD — Bam Knight — Anytime TD [ARI@LAR] Blake Corum — Anytime TD [ARI@LAR] Colby Parkinson — Anytime TD [ARI@LAR] Davante Adams — Anytime TD [ARI@LAR] Davis Allen — Anytime TD [ARI@LAR] Dean Connors — Anytime TD [ARI@LAR] Devin Duvernay — Anytime TD [ARI@LAR] Elijah Higgins — Anytime TD [ARI@LAR] Jacoby Brissett — Anytime TD [ARI@LAR] Jalen Brooks — Anytime TD [ARI@LAR] Jeremiyah Love — Anytime TD [ARI@LAR] Jordan Whittington — Anytime TD [ARI@LAR] Kendrick Bourne — Anytime TD [ARI@LAR] Konata Mumpfield — Anytime TD [ARI@LAR] Kyren Williams — Anytime TD [ARI@LAR] Matthew Stafford — Anytime TD [ARI@LAR] Max Klare — Anytime TD [ARI@LAR] Michael Wilson — Anytime TD [ARI@LAR] Puka Nacua — Anytime TD [ARI@LAR] Simi Fehoko — Anytime TD [ARI@LAR] Trey McBride — Anytime TD [ARI@LAR] Tutu Atwell — Anytime TD [ARI@LAR] Tyler Allgeier — Anytime TD [ARI@LAR] Tyler Higbee — Anytime TD [ARI@LAR] Blake Whiteheart — Anytime TD [BAL@CLE] Carsen Ryan — Anytime TD [BAL@CLE] Denzel Boston — Anytime TD [BAL@CLE] Derrick Henry — Anytime TD [BAL@CLE] Deshaun Watson — Anytime TD [BAL@CLE] Devontez Walker — Anytime TD [BAL@CLE] Harold Fannin Jr. — Anytime TD [BAL@CLE] Isaiah Bond — Anytime TD [BAL@CLE] Jerry Jeudy — Anytime TD [BAL@CLE] Josh Cuevas — Anytime TD [BAL@CLE] Justice Hill — Anytime TD [BAL@CLE] KC Concepcion — Anytime TD [BAL@CLE] LaJohntay Wester — Anytime TD [BAL@CLE] Malachi Corley — Anytime TD [BAL@CLE] Mark Andrews — Anytime TD [BAL@CLE] Michael Burton — Anytime TD [BAL@CLE] Rasheen Ali — Anytime TD [BAL@CLE] Rashod Bateman — Anytime TD [BAL@CLE] Zay Flowers — Anytime TD [BAL@CLE] Ashton Jeanty — Anytime TD [BUF@LV] Brock Bowers — Anytime TD [BUF@LV] Cody White — Anytime TD [BUF@LV] Connor Heyward — Anytime TD [BUF@LV] DJ Moore — Anytime TD [BUF@LV] Dalton Kincaid — Anytime TD [BUF@LV] Dareke Young — Anytime TD [BUF@LV] Dawson Knox — Anytime TD [BUF@LV] Dont'e Thornton Jr. — Anytime TD [BUF@LV] Dylan Laube — Anytime TD [BUF@LV] Greg Dortch — Anytime TD [BUF@LV] Ian Thomas — Anytime TD [BUF@LV] Jackson Hawes — Anytime TD [BUF@LV] Jalen Nailor — Anytime TD [BUF@LV] James Cook — Anytime TD [BUF@LV] Josh Allen — Anytime TD [BUF@LV] Joshua Palmer — Anytime TD [BUF@LV] Keleki Latu — Anytime TD [BUF@LV] Keon Coleman — Anytime TD [BUF@LV] Khalil Shakir — Anytime TD [BUF@LV] Kirk Cousins — Anytime TD [BUF@LV] Malik Benson — Anytime TD [BUF@LV] Michael Mayer — Anytime TD [BUF@LV] Mike Washington Jr. — Anytime TD [BUF@LV] Ray Davis — Anytime TD [BUF@LV] Tre Tucker — Anytime TD [BUF@LV] Ty Johnson — Anytime TD [BUF@LV] AJ Dillon — Anytime TD [CAR@PHI] Bryce Young — Anytime TD [CAR@PHI] Brycen Tremayne — Anytime TD [CAR@PHI] Chuba Hubbard — Anytime TD [CAR@PHI] Dallas Goedert — Anytime TD [CAR@PHI] Darius Cooper — Anytime TD [CAR@PHI] Darren Waller — Anytime TD [CAR@PHI] David Moore — Anytime TD [CAR@PHI] Dontayvion Wicks — Anytime TD [CAR@PHI] E.J. Jenkins — Anytime TD [CAR@PHI] Feleipe Franks — Anytime TD [CAR@PHI] Ja'Tavion Sanders — Anytime TD [CAR@PHI] Jalen Coker — Anytime TD [CAR@PHI] Jalen Hurts — Anytime TD [CAR@PHI] John Metchie III — Anytime TD [CAR@PHI] Johnny Mundt — Anytime TD [CAR@PHI] Makai Lemon — Anytime TD [CAR@PHI] Mitchell Evans — Anytime TD [CAR@PHI] Saquon Barkley — Anytime TD [CAR@PHI] Tetairoa McMillan — Anytime TD [CAR@PHI] Tommy Tremble — Anytime TD [CAR@PHI] Austin Hooper — Anytime TD [CHI@ATL] Bijan Robinson — Anytime TD [CHI@ATL] Brian Robinson Jr. — Anytime TD [CHI@ATL] Caleb Williams — Anytime TD [CHI@ATL] Charlie Woerner — Anytime TD [CHI@ATL] Chris Blair — Anytime TD [CHI@ATL] Cole Kmet — Anytime TD [CHI@ATL] Colston Loveland — Anytime TD [CHI@ATL] D'Andre Swift — Anytime TD [CHI@ATL] Drake London — Anytime TD [CHI@ATL] Jahan Dotson — Anytime TD [CHI@ATL] Jahdae Walker — Anytime TD [CHI@ATL] Kalif Raymond — Anytime TD [CHI@ATL] Kyle Pitts — Anytime TD [CHI@ATL] Luther Burden III — Anytime TD [CHI@ATL] Michael Penix Jr. — Anytime TD [CHI@ATL] Nick Muse — Anytime TD [CHI@ATL] Olamide Zaccheaus — Anytime TD [CHI@ATL] Rome Odunze — Anytime TD [CHI@ATL] Roschon Johnson — Anytime TD [CHI@ATL] Sam Roush — Anytime TD [CHI@ATL] Zachariah Branch — Anytime TD [CHI@ATL] Zavion Thomas — Anytime TD [CHI@ATL] Bo Melton — Anytime TD [DAL@GB] Brevyn Spann-Ford — Anytime TD [DAL@GB] CeeDee Lamb — Anytime TD [DAL@GB] Christian Watson — Anytime TD [DAL@GB] Dak Prescott — Anytime TD [DAL@GB] George Pickens — Anytime TD [DAL@GB] Hunter Luepke — Anytime TD [DAL@GB] J. Michael Sturdivant — Anytime TD [DAL@GB] Jake Ferguson — Anytime TD [DAL@GB] Javonte Williams — Anytime TD [DAL@GB] Jonathan Mingo — Anytime TD [DAL@GB] Jonnu Smith — Anytime TD [DAL@GB] Jordan Love — Anytime TD [DAL@GB] Josh Whyle — Anytime TD [DAL@GB] KaVontae Turpin — Anytime TD [DAL@GB] Kaleb Johnson — Anytime TD [DAL@GB] Luke Schoonmaker — Anytime TD [DAL@GB] MarShawn Lloyd — Anytime TD [DAL@GB] Mark Redman — Anytime TD [DAL@GB] Matthew Golden — Anytime TD [DAL@GB] Ryan Flournoy — Anytime TD [DAL@GB] Skyy Moore — Anytime TD [DAL@GB] Tucker Kraft — Anytime TD [DAL@GB] Tyler Goodson — Anytime TD [DAL@GB] Ameer Abdullah — Anytime TD [HOU@JAX] Bhayshul Tuten — Anytime TD [HOU@JAX] Brenton Strange — Anytime TD [HOU@JAX] Brian Thomas Jr — Anytime TD [HOU@JAX] C.J. Stroud — Anytime TD [HOU@JAX] Cade Stover — Anytime TD [HOU@JAX] Chris Rodriguez Jr. — Anytime TD [HOU@JAX] Dalton Schultz — Anytime TD [HOU@JAX] Dare Ogunbowale — Anytime TD [HOU@JAX] Foster Moreau — Anytime TD [HOU@JAX] Jakobi Meyers — Anytime TD [HOU@JAX] Jawhar Jordan — Anytime TD [HOU@JAX] Jaylin Noel — Anytime TD [HOU@JAX] Josh Cameron — Anytime TD [HOU@JAX] Kayshon Boutte — Anytime TD [HOU@JAX] LeQuint Allen Jr. — Anytime TD [HOU@JAX] Marlin Klein — Anytime TD [HOU@JAX] Nate Boerkircher — Anytime TD [HOU@JAX] Nico Collins — Anytime TD [HOU@JAX] Parker Washington — Anytime TD [HOU@JAX] Quintin Morris — Anytime TD [HOU@JAX] Tanner Koziol — Anytime TD [HOU@JAX] Travis Hunter — Anytime TD [HOU@JAX] Trevor Lawrence — Anytime TD [HOU@JAX] Woody Marks — Anytime TD [HOU@JAX] Xavier Hutchinson — Anytime TD [HOU@JAX] Alec Ingold — Anytime TD [LAC@KC] Ben VanSumeren — Anytime TD [LAC@KC] Brashard Smith — Anytime TD [LAC@KC] Charlie Kolar — Anytime TD [LAC@KC] Cyrus Allen — Anytime TD [LAC@KC] Derius Davis — Anytime TD [LAC@KC] Emmett Johnson — Anytime TD [LAC@KC] Hayden Rucci — Anytime TD [LAC@KC] Jake Briningstool — Anytime TD [LAC@KC] Jalen Royals — Anytime TD [LAC@KC] Jared Wiley — Anytime TD [LAC@KC] Justin Herbert — Anytime TD [LAC@KC] Keaton Mitchell — Anytime TD [LAC@KC] Kenneth Walker III — Anytime TD [LAC@KC] Kimani Vidal — Anytime TD [LAC@KC] Ladd McConkey — Anytime TD [LAC@KC] Marquez Valdes-Scantling — Anytime TD [LAC@KC] Nikko Remigio — Anytime TD [LAC@KC] Noah Gray — Anytime TD [LAC@KC] Omarion Hampton — Anytime TD [LAC@KC] Oronde Gadsden II — Anytime TD [LAC@KC] Patrick Mahomes — Anytime TD [LAC@KC] Quentin Johnston — Anytime TD [LAC@KC] Rashee Rice — Anytime TD [LAC@KC] Scott Matlock — Anytime TD [LAC@KC] Travis Kelce — Anytime TD [LAC@KC] Tre Harris — Anytime TD [LAC@KC] Xavier Worthy — Anytime TD [LAC@KC] Alvin Kamara — Anytime TD [NO@NYG] Barion Brown — Anytime TD [NO@NYG] Bryce Lance — Anytime TD [NO@NYG] CJ Donaldson — Anytime TD [NO@NYG] Cam Skattebo — Anytime TD [NO@NYG] Chris Manhertz — Anytime TD [NO@NYG] Chris Olave — Anytime TD [NO@NYG] Darnell Mooney — Anytime TD [NO@NYG] Devaughn Vele — Anytime TD [NO@NYG] Devin Singletary — Anytime TD [NO@NYG] Isaiah Likely — Anytime TD [NO@NYG] Jameis Winston — Anytime TD [NO@NYG] Juwan Johnson — Anytime TD [NO@NYG] Kendre Miller — Anytime TD [NO@NYG] Malachi Fields — Anytime TD [NO@NYG] Malik Nabers — Anytime TD [NO@NYG] Najee Harris — Anytime TD [NO@NYG] Noah Fant — Anytime TD [NO@NYG] Oscar Delp — Anytime TD [NO@NYG] Patrick Ricard — Anytime TD [NO@NYG] Theo Johnson — Anytime TD [NO@NYG] Thomas Fidone — Anytime TD [NO@NYG] Treyton Welch — Anytime TD [NO@NYG] Tyler Shough — Anytime TD [NO@NYG] Tyrone Tracy Jr. — Anytime TD [NO@NYG] Andrew Beck — Anytime TD [NYJ@NE] Braelon Allen — Anytime TD [NYJ@NE] Breece Hall — Anytime TD [NYJ@NE] Cameron Latu — Anytime TD [NYJ@NE] Corey Kiner — Anytime TD [NYJ@NE] DeMario Douglas — Anytime TD [NYJ@NE] Drake Maye — Anytime TD [NYJ@NE] Efton Chism III — Anytime TD [NYJ@NE] Eli Raridon — Anytime TD [NYJ@NE] Garrett Wilson — Anytime TD [NYJ@NE] Geno Smith — Anytime TD [NYJ@NE] Hunter Henry — Anytime TD [NYJ@NE] Isaiah Davis — Anytime TD [NYJ@NE] Isaiah Williams — Anytime TD [NYJ@NE] Jelani Woods — Anytime TD [NYJ@NE] Jeremy Ruckert — Anytime TD [NYJ@NE] Kene Nwangwu — Anytime TD [NYJ@NE] Kyle Williams — Anytime TD [NYJ@NE] Malik McClain — Anytime TD [NYJ@NE] Mason Taylor — Anytime TD [NYJ@NE] Rhamondre Stevenson — Anytime TD [NYJ@NE] Romeo Doubs — Anytime TD [NYJ@NE] Tanner Arkin — Anytime TD [NYJ@NE] Aaron Rodgers — Anytime TD [PIT@TB] Bauer Sharp — Anytime TD [PIT@TB] Ben Skowronek — Anytime TD [PIT@TB] Bucky Irving — Anytime TD [PIT@TB] Cade Otton — Anytime TD [PIT@TB] Chris Godwin — Anytime TD [PIT@TB] DK Metcalf — Anytime TD [PIT@TB] Darnell Washington — Anytime TD [PIT@TB] Emeka Egbuka — Anytime TD [PIT@TB] Germie Bernard — Anytime TD [PIT@TB] Jalon Daniels — Anytime TD [PIT@TB] Jaylen Warren — Anytime TD [PIT@TB] Kaden Wetjen — Anytime TD [PIT@TB] Kameron Johnson — Anytime TD [PIT@TB] Ko Kieft — Anytime TD [PIT@TB] Pat Freiermuth — Anytime TD [PIT@TB] Payne Durham — Anytime TD [PIT@TB] Riley Nowakowski — Anytime TD [PIT@TB] Robert Tonyan — Anytime TD [PIT@TB] Sean Tucker — Anytime TD [PIT@TB] Ted Hurst III — Anytime TD [PIT@TB] Tez Johnson — Anytime TD [PIT@TB] Travis Homer — Anytime TD [PIT@TB] AJ Barner — Anytime TD [SEA@DEN] Adam Prentice — Anytime TD [SEA@DEN] Adam Trautman — Anytime TD [SEA@DEN] Bo Nix — Anytime TD [SEA@DEN] Brady Russell — Anytime TD [SEA@DEN] Cooper Kupp — Anytime TD [SEA@DEN] Courtland Sutton — Anytime TD [SEA@DEN] Elijah Arroyo — Anytime TD [SEA@DEN] Emanuel Wilson — Anytime TD [SEA@DEN] Eric Saubert — Anytime TD [SEA@DEN] Evan Engram — Anytime TD [SEA@DEN] George Holani — Anytime TD [SEA@DEN] J.K. Dobbins — Anytime TD [SEA@DEN] Jaxon Smith-Njigba — Anytime TD [SEA@DEN] Jaylen Waddle — Anytime TD [SEA@DEN] Lil'Jordan Humphrey — Anytime TD [SEA@DEN] Marvin Mims Jr. — Anytime TD [SEA@DEN] Nate Adkins — Anytime TD [SEA@DEN] Nick Kallerup — Anytime TD [SEA@DEN] RJ Harvey — Anytime TD [SEA@DEN] Rashid Shaheed — Anytime TD [SEA@DEN] Sam Darnold — Anytime TD [SEA@DEN] Tory Horton — Anytime TD [SEA@DEN] Troy Franklin — Anytime TD [SEA@DEN] Tyler Badie — Anytime TD [SEA@DEN] Velus Jones Jr. — Anytime TD [SEA@DEN] Anthony Gould — Anytime TD [TEN@IND] Calvin Ridley — Anytime TD [TEN@IND] Cam Ward — Anytime TD [TEN@IND] Carnell Tate — Anytime TD [TEN@IND] Chimere Dike — Anytime TD [TEN@IND] DJ Giddens — Anytime TD [TEN@IND] Daniel Bellinger — Anytime TD [TEN@IND] Daniel Jones — Anytime TD [TEN@IND] David Martin-Robinson — Anytime TD [TEN@IND] Deion Burks — Anytime TD [TEN@IND] Drew Ogletree — Anytime TD [TEN@IND] Elic Ayomanor — Anytime TD [TEN@IND] Gunnar Helm — Anytime TD [TEN@IND] Jonathan Taylor — Anytime TD [TEN@IND] Josh Downs — Anytime TD [TEN@IND] Julius Chestnut — Anytime TD [TEN@IND] Keenan Allen — Anytime TD [TEN@IND] Laquon Treadwell — Anytime TD [TEN@IND] Mo Alie-Cox — Anytime TD [TEN@IND] Nicholas Singleton — Anytime TD [TEN@IND] Nick Westbrook-Ikhine — Anytime TD [TEN@IND] Seth McGowan — Anytime TD [TEN@IND] Tony Pollard — Anytime TD [TEN@IND] Tyjae Spears — Anytime TD [TEN@IND] Tyler Warren — Anytime TD [TEN@IND] Wan'Dale Robinson — Anytime TD [TEN@IND] Antonio Williams — Anytime TD [WSH@SF] Austin Ekeler — Anytime TD [WSH@SF] Ben Sinnott — Anytime TD [WSH@SF] Brayden Willis — Anytime TD [WSH@SF] Brock Purdy — Anytime TD [WSH@SF] Chig Okonkwo — Anytime TD [WSH@SF] Christian McCaffrey — Anytime TD [WSH@SF] Colson Yankoff — Anytime TD [WSH@SF] Dyami Brown — Anytime TD [WSH@SF] George Kittle — Anytime TD [WSH@SF] Jacob Cowing — Anytime TD [WSH@SF] Jacory Croskey-Merritt — Anytime TD [WSH@SF] Jayden Daniels — Anytime TD [WSH@SF] John Bates — Anytime TD [WSH@SF] Jordan Watkins — Anytime TD [WSH@SF] Kaelon Black — Anytime TD [WSH@SF] Luke Farrell — Anytime TD [WSH@SF] Luke McCaffrey — Anytime TD [WSH@SF] Mike Evans — Anytime TD [WSH@SF] Rachaad White — Anytime TD [WSH@SF] Stefon Diggs — Anytime TD [WSH@SF] Terry McLaurin — Anytime TD [WSH@SF] Treylon Burks — Anytime TD [WSH@SF] — MUTED RECEPTIONS — Blake Corum — Receptions 1.5 [ARI@LAR] Colby Parkinson — Receptions 1.5 [ARI@LAR] Davante Adams — Receptions 4.5 [ARI@LAR] Elijah Higgins — Receptions 1.5 [ARI@LAR] Kendrick Bourne — Receptions 3.5 [ARI@LAR] Kyren Williams — Receptions 3.5 [ARI@LAR] Michael Wilson — Receptions 5.5 [ARI@LAR] Puka Nacua — Receptions 7.5 [ARI@LAR] Trey McBride — Receptions 7.5 [ARI@LAR] Tyler Higbee — Receptions 2.5 [ARI@LAR] Denzel Boston — Receptions 3.5 [BAL@CLE] Ashton Jeanty — Receptions 3.5 [BUF@LV] Brock Bowers — Receptions 6.5 [BUF@LV] DJ Moore — Receptions 3.5 [BUF@LV] Dalton Kincaid — Receptions 4.5 [BUF@LV] James Cook — Receptions 1.5 [BUF@LV] Michael Mayer — Receptions 2.5 [BUF@LV] Tre Tucker — Receptions 3.5 [BUF@LV] Ty Johnson — Receptions 2.5 [BUF@LV] Chuba Hubbard — Receptions 2.5 [CAR@PHI] Darren Waller — Receptions 3.5 [CAR@PHI] Jalen Coker — Receptions 4.5 [CAR@PHI] Tetairoa McMillan — Receptions 5.5 [CAR@PHI] Bijan Robinson — Receptions 3.5 [CHI@ATL] Cole Kmet — Receptions 1.5 [CHI@ATL] Colston Loveland — Receptions 3.5 [CHI@ATL] Drake London — Receptions 6.5 [CHI@ATL] Jahan Dotson — Receptions 1.5 [CHI@ATL] Kalif Raymond — Receptions 2.5 [CHI@ATL] Kyle Pitts — Receptions 2.5 [CHI@ATL] Luther Burden III — Receptions 4.5 [CHI@ATL] Rome Odunze — Receptions 3.5 [CHI@ATL] Zachariah Branch — Receptions 1.5 [CHI@ATL] CeeDee Lamb — Receptions 6.5 [DAL@GB] Christian Watson — Receptions 4.5 [DAL@GB] George Pickens — Receptions 4.5 [DAL@GB] Jake Ferguson — Receptions 3.5 [DAL@GB] Javonte Williams — Receptions 2.5 [DAL@GB] MarShawn Lloyd — Receptions 1.5 [DAL@GB] Matthew Golden — Receptions 4.5 [DAL@GB] Ryan Flournoy — Receptions 2.5 [DAL@GB] Tucker Kraft — Receptions 4.5 [DAL@GB] Bhayshul Tuten — Receptions 1.5 [HOU@JAX] Brenton Strange — Receptions 3.5 [HOU@JAX] Brian Thomas Jr — Receptions 1.5 [HOU@JAX] Dalton Schultz — Receptions 3.5 [HOU@JAX] Jakobi Meyers — Receptions 2.5 [HOU@JAX] Josh Cameron — Receptions 1.5 [HOU@JAX] Kayshon Boutte — Receptions 2.5 [HOU@JAX] Nate Boerkircher — Receptions 0.5 [HOU@JAX] Nico Collins — Receptions 5.5 [HOU@JAX] Parker Washington — Receptions 4.5 [HOU@JAX] Woody Marks — Receptions 2.5 [HOU@JAX] Kenneth Walker III — Receptions 3.5 [LAC@KC] Travis Kelce — Receptions 4.5 [LAC@KC] Xavier Worthy — Receptions 4.5 [LAC@KC] Bryce Lance — Receptions 1.5 [NO@NYG] Cam Skattebo — Receptions 1.5 [NO@NYG] Chris Olave — Receptions 6.5 [NO@NYG] Darnell Mooney — Receptions 1.5 [NO@NYG] Devaughn Vele — Receptions 4.5 [NO@NYG] Isaiah Likely — Receptions 4.5 [NO@NYG] Juwan Johnson — Receptions 4.5 [NO@NYG] Malachi Fields — Receptions 2.5 [NO@NYG] Malik Nabers — Receptions 5.5 [NO@NYG] Noah Fant — Receptions 1.5 [NO@NYG] Garrett Wilson — Receptions 6.5 [NYJ@NE] Rhamondre Stevenson — Receptions 2.5 [NYJ@NE] Bucky Irving — Receptions 1.5 [PIT@TB] Cade Otton — Receptions 3.5 [PIT@TB] Chris Godwin — Receptions 3.5 [PIT@TB] DK Metcalf — Receptions 4.5 [PIT@TB] Darnell Washington — Receptions 2.5 [PIT@TB] Emeka Egbuka — Receptions 3.5 [PIT@TB] Germie Bernard — Receptions 3.5 [PIT@TB] Pat Freiermuth — Receptions 3.5 [PIT@TB] AJ Barner — Receptions 2.5 [SEA@DEN] Cooper Kupp — Receptions 2.5 [SEA@DEN] Courtland Sutton — Receptions 3.5 [SEA@DEN] Emanuel Wilson — Receptions 1.5 [SEA@DEN] Evan Engram — Receptions 2.5 [SEA@DEN] George Holani — Receptions 1.5 [SEA@DEN] J.K. Dobbins — Receptions 1.5 [SEA@DEN] Jaxon Smith-Njigba — Receptions 6.5 [SEA@DEN] Jaylen Waddle — Receptions 4.5 [SEA@DEN] Lil'Jordan Humphrey — Receptions 1.5 [SEA@DEN] Marvin Mims Jr. — Receptions 1.5 [SEA@DEN] RJ Harvey — Receptions 3.5 [SEA@DEN] Rashid Shaheed — Receptions 1.5 [SEA@DEN] Troy Franklin — Receptions 1.5 [SEA@DEN] Calvin Ridley — Receptions 1.5 [TEN@IND] Carnell Tate — Receptions 4.5 [TEN@IND] Elic Ayomanor — Receptions 1.5 [TEN@IND] Gunnar Helm — Receptions 2.5 [TEN@IND] Jonathan Taylor — Receptions 2.5 [TEN@IND] Josh Downs — Receptions 4.5 [TEN@IND] Keenan Allen — Receptions 3.5 [TEN@IND] Tony Pollard — Receptions 1.5 [TEN@IND] Tyjae Spears — Receptions 2.5 [TEN@IND] Tyler Warren — Receptions 5.5 [TEN@IND] Wan'Dale Robinson — Receptions 3.5 [TEN@IND] Christian McCaffrey — Receptions 4.5 [WSH@SF] George Kittle — Receptions 5.5 [WSH@SF] Mike Evans — Receptions 5.5 [WSH@SF] Rachaad White — Receptions 1.5 [WSH@SF] THE HONEST RANGE Simulated 10,000 times, one unit a pick, 198 picks across 14 games, every pick above. A typical week +24.04u Good week (top 5%) +45.02u Bad week (worst 5%) +1.94u Week loses money 4% of the time Even a real edge loses money in plenty of weeks. This range is published so nobody has to take a good or bad week as a verdict. ---------------------------------------------------------- THE PAPER TRAIL · @PaperTrailPicks Every pick, every refusal, hash-committed pre-kickoff. Not betting advice. For entertainment purposes. ==========================================================