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   T H E   P A P E R   T R A I L
   Picks committed before kickoff. Graded in public.
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  Week 3 · 2026 season · built 2026-09-24 CT
  SHA-256 of this file is published before the first
  kickoff. If the file changes, the hash changes.
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  Model and market probabilities read as
  (model N · X% vs mkt Y%). A blank market figure means
  no price was logged for that pick. The badge on each
  pick is that market’s record: Untested under 40,
  Learning 40–100, Calibrated 100+.
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BEST BETS (74)

  ARI @ SF

    Moneyline SF   (model 88.2% vs mkt 80.4%)   -455
      [Untested 32/40]  We make this side more likely to
      win than the price implies.

    Brock Purdy — Pass att UNDER 31.5   (model 29.8 · 62.0% vs mkt 53.1%)   -127
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price.

    Christian McCaffrey — Rush att OVER 13.5   (model 15 · 60.5% vs mkt 51.9%)   -122
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits above this number,
      the game script points his way and a soft matchup
      for the run game.

  ATL @ GB

    Bijan Robinson — Rush att UNDER 18.5   (model 16.8 · 65.5% vs mkt 50.8%)   -122
      [Calibrated 1065]  A clear disagreement with the
      price — a tough matchup for the run game.

    Chris Brooks — Rush att UNDER 4.5   (model 3.9 · 57.6% vs mkt 51.1%)   -118
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits below this number
      and the game script points his way.

    Jordan Love — Pass att UNDER 31.5   (model 29.5 · 59.4% vs mkt 50.1%)   -120
      [Calibrated 1065]  A clear disagreement with the
      price — a tough matchup for the passing game.

    Matthew Golden — Rec yds UNDER 55.5   (model 44.3 · 64.0% vs mkt 49.6%)   -113
      [Calibrated 1065]  A clear disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits below this number
      and a tough matchup for receivers.

  BAL @ DAL

    Javonte Williams — Rec yds UNDER 16.5   (model 14.4 · 58.0% vs mkt 50.9%)   -120
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits below this number,
      the game script points his way and a tough matchup
      for receivers.

    Javonte Williams — Rush att UNDER 14.5   (model 13.6 · 59.8% vs mkt 50.1%)   -113
      [Calibrated 1065]  A clear disagreement with the
      price — a tough matchup for the run game.

    Lamar Jackson — Completions UNDER 19.5   (model 17.4 · 69.1% vs mkt 54.0%)   -136
      [Calibrated 1065]  A clear disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits below this number
      and a tough matchup for the passing game.

    Lamar Jackson — Pass att UNDER 28.5   (model 25.8 · 64.5% vs mkt 50.9%)   -117
      [Calibrated 1065]  A clear disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits below this number
      and a tough matchup for the passing game.

    Lamar Jackson — Pass yds UNDER 239.5   (model 221.5 · 62.3% vs mkt 50.1%)   -115
      [Calibrated 1065]  A clear disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits below this number
      and a tough matchup for the passing game.

    Lamar Jackson — Rush yds UNDER 37.5   (model 33.8 · 56.7% vs mkt 50.3%)   -117
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits below this number,
      the game script points his way and a tough matchup
      for the run game.

  CAR @ CLE

    Bryce Young — Rush att UNDER 3.5   (model 3.2 · 55.1% vs mkt 47.6%)   -103
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits below this number,
      the game script points his way and a soft matchup
      for the run game.

    Chuba Hubbard — Rush att UNDER 17.5   (model 14.3 · 73.3% vs mkt 52.4%)   -124
      [Calibrated 1065]  A clear disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits below this number
      and the game script points his way.

    Chuba Hubbard — Rush yds UNDER 70.5   (model 57.1 · 69.1% vs mkt 50.1%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  A clear disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits below this number
      and the game script points his way.

    Jalen Coker — Rec yds UNDER 60.5   (model 54.8 · 56.6% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — he is carrying a questionable tag.

    Jerry Jeudy — Rec yds OVER 19.5   (model 22.7 · 56.5% vs mkt 50.3%)   -117
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits above this number,
      the game script points his way and a soft matchup
      for receivers.

    Quinshon Judkins — Rush yds UNDER 55.5   (model 50.7 · 56.4% vs mkt 50.1%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits below this number.

    Xavier Legette — Rec yds OVER 11.5   (model 15.1 · 57.8% vs mkt 50.3%)   -117
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits above this number
      and a soft matchup for receivers.

  CIN @ PIT

    Joe Burrow — Pass att UNDER 35.5   (model 33.3 · 59.3% vs mkt 52.8%)   -126
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price.

    Joe Burrow — Pass yds UNDER 250.5   (model 234.9 · 58.0% vs mkt 49.9%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price.

  HOU @ IND

    C.J. Stroud — Rush yds OVER 9.5   (model 11.6 · 58.2% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits above this number,
      the game script points his way and a soft matchup
      for the run game.

    Jared Wayne — Rec yds OVER 12.5   (model 15.2 · 58.2% vs mkt 49.3%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits above this number
      and a soft matchup for receivers.

    Jonathan Taylor — Rush att UNDER 19.5   (model 18.7 · 56.2% vs mkt 49.1%)   -109
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — a soft matchup for the run game.

    Woody Marks — Rush att OVER 8.5   (model 9.5 · 57.2% vs mkt 51.1%)   -118
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits above this number
      and the game script points his way.

    Woody Marks — Rush yds OVER 27.5   (model 32.7 · 59.2% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  A clear disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits above this number
      and the game script points his way.

    Xavier Hutchinson — Rec yds UNDER 38.5   (model 32.8 · 60.3% vs mkt 50.1%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  A clear disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits below this number
      and a soft matchup for receivers.

    Total OVER 42.5   (model 46.5 · 62.0% vs mkt 50.5%)   -112
      [Untested 31/40]  We land a clear distance off the
      posted total.

  KC @ MIA

    De'Von Achane — Rush att UNDER 15.5   (model 14.3 · 59.6% vs mkt 51.1%)   -118
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price.

    Patrick Mahomes — Rush yds OVER 17.5   (model 21.7 · 59.1% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  A clear disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits above this number
      and the game script points his way.

    Tyquan Thornton — Rec yds OVER 16.5   (model 20.4 · 56.5% vs mkt 50.4%)   -118
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits above this number.

  LAC @ BUF

    James Cook — Rush yds OVER 79.5   (model 87.8 · 57.6% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits above this number,
      the game script points his way and a soft matchup
      for the run game.

    Josh Allen — Completions UNDER 20.5   (model 18.7 · 59.9% vs mkt 50.7%)   -116
      [Calibrated 1065]  A clear disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits below this number
      and a tough matchup for the passing game.

    Josh Allen — Pass att UNDER 30.5   (model 27.7 · 61.6% vs mkt 51.6%)   -120
      [Calibrated 1065]  A clear disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits below this number
      and a tough matchup for the passing game.

    Josh Allen — Pass yds UNDER 236.5   (model 220.5 · 57.1% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — a tough matchup for the passing game.

    Justin Herbert — Rush att UNDER 3.5   (model 3.7 · 47.6% vs mkt 40.8%)   +127
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits above this number
      and a tough matchup for the run game.

    Omarion Hampton — Rec yds OVER 10.5   (model 12.6 · 56.1% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits above this number,
      the game script points his way and a tough matchup
      for receivers.

    Omarion Hampton — Rush att UNDER 15.5   (model 14.1 · 63.3% vs mkt 50.9%)   -117
      [Calibrated 1065]  A clear disagreement with the
      price — a tough matchup for the run game.

  LAR @ DEN

    Moneyline LAR   (model 62.2% vs mkt 56.0%)   -139
      [Untested 32/40]  We make this side more likely to
      win than the price implies.

    Blake Corum — Rush att UNDER 11.5   (model 10.7 · 58.5% vs mkt 50.2%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits below this number
      and the game script points his way.

    Bo Nix — Completions OVER 21.5   (model 22.2 · 55.7% vs mkt 47.5%)   -109
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — the game script points his way.

    Bo Nix — Pass att OVER 33.5   (model 34.7 · 56.2% vs mkt 49.5%)   -111
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — the game script points his way.

    Bo Nix — Pass yds OVER 210.5   (model 222.4 · 56.6% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits above this number
      and the game script points his way.

    Bo Nix — Rush att UNDER 4.5   (model 4.4 · 51.7% vs mkt 44.8%)   +109
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price.

    Courtland Sutton — Rec yds OVER 36.5   (model 41.3 · 56.2% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits above this number
      and the game script points his way.

    Kyren Williams — Rush yds OVER 51.5   (model 58.5 · 61.4% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  A clear disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits above this number
      and the game script points his way.

    Matthew Stafford — Pass att UNDER 33.5   (model 32.6 · 55.7% vs mkt 47.6%)   -103
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — a tough matchup for the passing game.

  LV @ NO

    Ashton Jeanty — Rush yds UNDER 68.5   (model 62.2 · 57.4% vs mkt 50.1%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits below this number
      and a soft matchup for the run game.

    Devaughn Vele — Rec yds UNDER 49.5   (model 41 · 60.9% vs mkt 50.1%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  A clear disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits below this number.

    Juwan Johnson — Rec yds OVER 35.5   (model 39.9 · 57.9% vs mkt 50.1%)   -115
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits above this number.

  MIN @ TB

    Moneyline MIN   (model 60.8% vs mkt 53.3%)   -124
      [Untested 32/40]  We make this side more likely to
      win than the price implies.

    Bucky Irving — Rec yds OVER 13.5   (model 16.3 · 55.3% vs mkt 49.3%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits above this number,
      a tough matchup for receivers and the game script
      points his way.

  NE @ JAX

    Bhayshul Tuten — Rec yds UNDER 9.5   (model 7.8 · 57.8% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits below this number.

    Bhayshul Tuten — Rush att UNDER 12.5   (model 10.4 · 67.7% vs mkt 46.2%)   +103
      [Calibrated 1065]  A clear disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits below this number
      and the game script points his way.

    Bhayshul Tuten — Rush yds UNDER 53.5   (model 43.7 · 64.8% vs mkt 49.9%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  A clear disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits below this number
      and the game script points his way.

    Drake Maye — Completions OVER 19.5   (model 20.5 · 57.4% vs mkt 51.3%)   -122
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — the game script points his way and a soft
      matchup for the passing game.

    Drake Maye — Pass yds OVER 216.5   (model 235.8 · 64.5% vs mkt 49.9%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  A clear disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits above this number,
      the game script points his way and a soft matchup
      for the passing game.

    Drake Maye — Rush att UNDER 5.5   (model 5.4 · 51.3% vs mkt 44.3%)   +111
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — a soft matchup for the run game.

    Rhamondre Stevenson — Rec yds OVER 14.5   (model 17.4 · 56.4% vs mkt 49.7%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits above this number
      and the game script points his way.

    Trevor Lawrence — Pass att UNDER 32.5   (model 31.2 · 57.0% vs mkt 50.0%)   -125
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price.

  NYJ @ DET

    Breece Hall — Rush att UNDER 14.5   (model 13.8 · 56.9% vs mkt 47.4%)   -102
      [Calibrated 1065]  A clear disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits above this number
      and a tough matchup for the run game.

    Jared Goff — Completions UNDER 23.5   (model 22.5 · 57.8% vs mkt 51.0%)   -121
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price.

  PHI @ CHI

    DeVonta Smith — Rec yds UNDER 71.5   (model 64 · 57.4% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits below this number
      and a soft matchup for receivers.

    Saquon Barkley — Rush att UNDER 17.5   (model 16.2 · 58.7% vs mkt 50.6%)   -115
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits below this number,
      he is carrying a questionable tag and the game
      script points his way.

    Saquon Barkley — Rush yds UNDER 72.5   (model 66.8 · 56.2% vs mkt 50.1%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits below this number,
      he is carrying a questionable tag and the game
      script points his way.

  SEA @ WSH

    Moneyline SEA   (model 87.0% vs mkt 76.6%)   -360
      [Untested 32/40]  We make this side more likely to
      win than the price implies.

    Rashid Shaheed — Rec yds UNDER 26.5   (model 21.9 · 57.6% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits below this number
      and a tough matchup for receivers.

    Terry McLaurin — Rec yds OVER 41.5   (model 45.5 · 57.1% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits above this number
      and the game script points his way.

  TEN @ NYG

    Moneyline NYG   (model 68.2% vs mkt 56.3%)   -139
      [Untested 32/40]  We make this side more likely to
      win than the price implies.

    Calvin Ridley — Rec yds OVER 14.5   (model 20 · 59.1% vs mkt 50.3%)   -116
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits above this number,
      the game script points his way and a tough matchup
      for receivers.

    Elic Ayomanor — Rec yds OVER 14.5   (model 21.3 · 64.8% vs mkt 49.9%)   -113
      [Calibrated 1065]  A clear disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits above this number,
      the game script points his way and a tough matchup
      for receivers.

    Jameis Winston — Completions UNDER 18.5   (model 16.3 · 59.9% vs mkt 51.2%)   -131
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits below this number
      and with almost nothing from this season on his
      record, so this leans hard on the posted number.

    Jameis Winston — Pass att UNDER 30.5   (model 28.1 · 56.1% vs mkt 49.8%)   -112
      [Calibrated 1065]  A real disagreement with the
      price — his own recent work sits below this number
      and with almost nothing from this season on his
      record, so this leans hard on the posted number.

WORTH A LOOK (67)

  ARI @ SF

    Brock Purdy — Pass yds UNDER 237.5   (model 229.6 · 54.9% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market.

    Christian McCaffrey — Rush yds OVER 55.5   (model 59.8 · 55.3% vs mkt 49.7%)   -112
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — his own recent work sits above this number,
      the game script points his way and a soft matchup
      for the run game.

    Marvin Harrison Jr. — Rec yds OVER 28.5   (model 32.3 · 55.7% vs mkt 49.9%)   -113
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — his own recent work sits above this number,
      the game script points his way and a tough matchup
      for receivers.

    Michael Wilson — Rec yds OVER 44.5   (model 48.3 · 53.6% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — his own recent work sits above this number,
      the game script points his way and a tough matchup
      for receivers.

    Trey McBride — Rec yds OVER 66.5   (model 69.4 · 54.1% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — his own recent work sits above this number,
      the game script points his way and a tough matchup
      for receivers.

  ATL @ GB

    Bijan Robinson — Rush yds UNDER 77.5   (model 73.3 · 53.7% vs mkt 50.0%)   -115
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — his own recent work sits above this number
      and a tough matchup for the run game.

    Chris Brooks — Rec yds UNDER 7.5   (model 6.2 · 57.2% vs mkt 51.3%)   -121
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — his own recent work sits below this number.

    Chris Brooks — Rush yds UNDER 14.5   (model 13.1 · 54.0% vs mkt 49.8%)   -113
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — his own recent work sits below this number
      and the game script points his way.

    Christian Watson — Rec yds UNDER 67.5   (model 62.3 · 55.6% vs mkt 49.9%)   -113
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — a tough matchup for receivers.

    Jordan Love — Completions UNDER 19.5   (model 18.3 · 58.5% vs mkt 53.4%)   -135
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — a tough matchup for the passing game.

    Jordan Love — Pass yds UNDER 228.5   (model 217.5 · 55.2% vs mkt 50.1%)   -115
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — a tough matchup for the passing game.

    Kyle Pitts — Rec yds OVER 35.5   (model 38.7 · 54.0% vs mkt 49.4%)   -113
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — his own recent work sits above this number,
      the game script points his way and a soft matchup
      for receivers.

    Michael Penix Jr. — Pass yds OVER 202.5   (model 211.8 · 56.1% vs mkt 50.1%)   -115
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — the game script points his way, a soft
      matchup for the passing game and with almost nothing
      from this season on his record, so this leans hard
      on the posted number.

    Michael Penix Jr. — Rush yds OVER 3.5   (model 4 · 54.1% vs mkt 49.5%)   -110
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — his own recent work sits above this number,
      a soft matchup for the run game and with almost
      nothing from this season on his record, so this
      leans hard on the posted number.

  BAL @ DAL

    Dak Prescott — Rush yds UNDER 12.5   (model 11.5 · 53.7% vs mkt 50.0%)   -115
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market.

    Derrick Henry — Rush att OVER 18.5   (model 18.9 · 52.4% vs mkt 48.2%)   -105
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — the game script points his way.

    Derrick Henry — Rush yds OVER 89.5   (model 94.7 · 54.5% vs mkt 50.0%)   -115
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — his own recent work sits above this number
      and the game script points his way.

    George Pickens — Rec yds OVER 59.5   (model 64.2 · 54.5% vs mkt 50.0%)   -115
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — his own recent work sits above this number
      and the game script points his way.

    Total OVER 52.5   (model 55.9 · 60.2% vs mkt 50.0%)   -110
      [Untested 31/40]  We land just off the posted total
      — a lean, not a strong call.

  CAR @ CLE

    Moneyline CAR   (model 61.2% vs mkt 57.7%)   -148
      [Untested 32/40]  A small lean on the price, no more
      than that.

    Bryce Young — Rush yds UNDER 14.5   (model 13.3 · 53.9% vs mkt 49.1%)   -110
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — his own recent work sits below this number,
      the game script points his way and a soft matchup
      for the run game.

    Chuba Hubbard — Rec yds UNDER 15.5   (model 14.3 · 53.6% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market.

    Harold Fannin Jr. — Rec yds OVER 37.5   (model 40.1 · 54.6% vs mkt 49.8%)   -112
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — his own recent work sits above this number,
      the game script points his way and a soft matchup
      for receivers.

  CIN @ PIT

    Aaron Rodgers — Completions OVER 22.5   (model 22.8 · 52.3% vs mkt 47.4%)   -102
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — the game script points his way.

    Aaron Rodgers — Pass att OVER 35.5   (model 35.9 · 52.2% vs mkt 47.4%)   -102
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — the game script points his way.

    Chase Brown — Rush att UNDER 15.5   (model 15 · 55.0% vs mkt 49.1%)   -126
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — the game script points his way and a tough
      matchup for the run game.

    Joe Burrow — Completions UNDER 23.5   (model 22.2 · 57.7% vs mkt 51.9%)   -126
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market.

  HOU @ IND

    C.J. Stroud — Pass att OVER 32.5   (model 32.9 · 51.4% vs mkt 47.4%)   -102
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — a soft matchup for the passing game.

    Daniel Jones — Pass yds OVER 216.5   (model 225.2 · 55.0% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — the game script points his way and a soft
      matchup for the passing game.

    Jaylin Noel — Rec yds UNDER 25.5   (model 22.5 · 55.4% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — his own recent work sits below this number
      and a soft matchup for receivers.

    Jonathan Taylor — Rec yds OVER 19.5   (model 20.8 · 53.0% vs mkt 49.3%)   -110
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — his own recent work sits above this number,
      the game script points his way and a soft matchup
      for receivers.

    Josh Downs — Rec yds UNDER 49.5   (model 46.4 · 55.3% vs mkt 50.1%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — his own recent work sits below this number,
      the game script points his way and a soft matchup
      for receivers.

    Laquon Treadwell — Rec yds UNDER 13.5   (model 12.1 · 54.0% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — his own recent work sits below this number,
      the game script points his way and a soft matchup
      for receivers.

    Tyler Warren — Rec yds UNDER 44.5   (model 42.3 · 53.6% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — his own recent work sits below this number,
      the game script points his way and a soft matchup
      for receivers.

  KC @ MIA

    Patrick Mahomes — Completions UNDER 21.5   (model 21 · 53.4% vs mkt 48.6%)   -107
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market.

    Xavier Worthy — Rec yds UNDER 34.5   (model 31.9 · 54.8% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market.

  LAC @ BUF

    Josh Allen — Rush att UNDER 7.5   (model 7.3 · 51.8% vs mkt 45.9%)   +104
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — the game script points his way and a tough
      matchup for the run game.

    Justin Herbert — Pass att OVER 31.5   (model 32 · 52.1% vs mkt 46.9%)   +100
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — the game script points his way and a tough
      matchup for the passing game.

    Justin Herbert — Pass yds OVER 222.5   (model 229.2 · 53.5% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — the game script points his way and a tough
      matchup for the passing game.

    Omarion Hampton — Rush yds UNDER 60.5   (model 56.1 · 55.8% vs mkt 49.9%)   -113
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — a tough matchup for the run game.

    Tre Harris — Rec yds UNDER 28.5   (model 26.6 · 54.0% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — his own recent work sits below this number,
      the game script points his way and a tough matchup
      for receivers.

  LAR @ DEN

    Evan Engram — Rec yds OVER 21.5   (model 24.4 · 55.9% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — his own recent work sits above this number
      and the game script points his way.

    Kyren Williams — Rush att OVER 12.5   (model 12.8 · 53.3% vs mkt 49.7%)   -111
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — his own recent work sits above this number
      and the game script points his way.

    Matthew Stafford — Completions UNDER 20.5   (model 20.4 · 51.3% vs mkt 47.1%)   -101
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — a tough matchup for the passing game.

  LV @ NO

    Ashton Jeanty — Rush att UNDER 18.5   (model 17.3 · 57.8% vs mkt 53.4%)   -129
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — a soft matchup for the run game.

    Total UNDER 43.5   (model 40.6 · 58.8% vs mkt 49.5%)   -108
      [Untested 31/40]  We land just off the posted total
      — a lean, not a strong call.

  MIN @ TB

    Baker Mayfield — Pass att OVER 31.5   (model 31.8 · 51.4% vs mkt 46.8%)   +100
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — the game script points his way.

    Baker Mayfield — Rush yds OVER 16.5   (model 18.5 · 55.3% vs mkt 50.2%)   -115
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — his own recent work sits above this number.

    Jalen McMillan — Rec yds OVER 16.5   (model 19.3 · 54.5% vs mkt 50.3%)   -117
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — his own recent work sits above this number,
      the game script points his way and with almost
      nothing from this season on his record, so this
      leans hard on the posted number.

    Jordan Addison — Rec yds UNDER 35.5   (model 32.1 · 54.0% vs mkt 50.1%)   -115
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — his own recent work sits below this number.

    Justin Jefferson — Rec yds UNDER 68.5   (model 63.6 · 55.8% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — his own recent work sits below this number.

  NE @ JAX

    Brenton Strange — Rec yds OVER 26.5   (model 29 · 54.8% vs mkt 49.9%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — his own recent work sits above this number.

    DeMario Douglas — Rec yds UNDER 28.5   (model 25.7 · 54.7% vs mkt 50.0%)   -115
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — his own recent work sits below this number,
      the game script points his way and a soft matchup
      for receivers.

    Rhamondre Stevenson — Rush att UNDER 8.5   (model 8.3 · 51.6% vs mkt 45.6%)   +105
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — his own recent work sits above this number.

    TreVeyon Henderson — Rec yds OVER 7.5   (model 8.3 · 53.6% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — his own recent work sits above this number,
      the game script points his way and with almost
      nothing from this season on his record, so this
      leans hard on the posted number.

    TreVeyon Henderson — Rush yds OVER 39.5   (model 42.9 · 53.8% vs mkt 50.0%)   -115
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — his own recent work sits above this number
      and with almost nothing from this season on his
      record, so this leans hard on the posted number.

    Trevor Lawrence — Completions UNDER 20.5   (model 19.6 · 58.6% vs mkt 52.7%)   -135
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market.

  NYJ @ DET

    Moneyline DET   (model 79.5% vs mkt 74.4%)   -320
      [Untested 32/40]  A small lean on the price, no more
      than that.

    Jared Goff — Pass yds UNDER 258.5   (model 250.5 · 55.5% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market.

    Total OVER 47.5   (model 50.6 · 59.4% vs mkt 50.5%)   -112
      [Untested 31/40]  We land just off the posted total
      — a lean, not a strong call.

  PHI @ CHI

    Jalen Hurts — Completions UNDER 17.5   (model 17.3 · 51.5% vs mkt 48.0%)   -104
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — a soft matchup for the passing game.

    Jalen Hurts — Pass yds UNDER 210.5   (model 202.9 · 54.6% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — a soft matchup for the passing game.

    Saquon Barkley — Rec yds UNDER 13.5   (model 11.7 · 54.7% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — he is carrying a questionable tag.

    Total OVER 41   (model 44.1 · 59.4% vs mkt 50.7%)   -112
      [Untested 31/40]  We land just off the posted total
      — a lean, not a strong call.

  TEN @ NYG

    Cam Skattebo — Rec yds OVER 11.5   (model 13.2 · 54.9% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — his own recent work sits above this number.

    Jameis Winston — Pass yds UNDER 201.5   (model 185.7 · 54.1% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — his own recent work sits below this number
      and with almost nothing from this season on his
      record, so this leans hard on the posted number.

    Malik Nabers — Rec yds UNDER 54.5   (model 48.1 · 54.8% vs mkt 50.0%)   -114
      [Calibrated 1065]  Thin edge, mostly agrees with the
      market — his own recent work sits below this number
      and he is carrying a questionable tag.

Passed on 753 other markets the model looked at — 140 thin
edge, 147 team change, 276 muted TD, 97 muted receptions,
2 line out of range, 65 no projection, 1 no usable price,
25 under 3 games.

==========================================================
REFUSED (753) — looked at, not picked

  Nothing below is a bet. These are the markets the
  model saw and declined, with the reason. They are
  inside the hash so the list cannot be trimmed after
  the fact.


  — TEAM CHANGE —
  Deebo Samuel — Anytime TD   [ARI@SF]
  Devin Duvernay — Anytime TD   [ARI@SF]
  Hunter Long — Anytime TD   [ARI@SF]
  Kendrick Bourne — Anytime TD   [ARI@SF]
  KhaDarel Hodge — Anytime TD   [ARI@SF]
  Mike Evans — Anytime TD   [ARI@SF]
  Tyler Allgeier — Anytime TD   [ARI@SF]
  Tyler Allgeier — Rush yds 32.5   [ARI@SF]
  Austin Hooper — Anytime TD   [ATL@GB]
  Austin Hooper — Rec yds 7.5   [ATL@GB]
  Austin Hooper — Receptions 0.5   [ATL@GB]
  Brian Robinson Jr. — Anytime TD   [ATL@GB]
  Brian Robinson Jr. — Rush att 6.5   [ATL@GB]
  Brian Robinson Jr. — Rush yds 22.5   [ATL@GB]
  Jahan Dotson — Anytime TD   [ATL@GB]
  Jahan Dotson — Rec yds 18.5   [ATL@GB]
  Jahan Dotson — Receptions 1.5   [ATL@GB]
  Jonnu Smith — Anytime TD   [ATL@GB]
  Jonnu Smith — Rec yds 8.5   [ATL@GB]
  Jonnu Smith — Receptions 1.5   [ATL@GB]
  Kaleb Johnson — Anytime TD   [ATL@GB]
  Kaleb Johnson — Rush att 10.5   [ATL@GB]
  Kaleb Johnson — Rush yds 37.5   [ATL@GB]
  Olamide Zaccheaus — Anytime TD   [ATL@GB]
  Olamide Zaccheaus — Rec yds 9.5   [ATL@GB]
  Olamide Zaccheaus — Receptions 1.5   [ATL@GB]
  Skyy Moore — Anytime TD   [ATL@GB]
  Skyy Moore — Rec yds 9.5   [ATL@GB]
  Skyy Moore — Receptions 1.5   [ATL@GB]
  Chris Moore — Anytime TD   [BAL@DAL]
  Durham Smythe — Anytime TD   [BAL@DAL]
  Emari Demercado — Anytime TD   [BAL@DAL]
  Tyler Goodson — Anytime TD   [BAL@DAL]
  AJ Dillon — Anytime TD   [CAR@CLE]
  Darren Waller — Anytime TD   [CAR@CLE]
  Darren Waller — Rec yds 20.5   [CAR@CLE]
  Darren Waller — Receptions 2.5   [CAR@CLE]
  Feleipe Franks — Anytime TD   [CAR@CLE]
  Jaleel McLaughlin — Anytime TD   [CAR@CLE]
  John Metchie III — Anytime TD   [CAR@CLE]
  Tylan Wallace — Anytime TD   [CAR@CLE]
  Michael Pittman Jr. — Anytime TD   [CIN@PIT]
  Rico Dowdle — Anytime TD   [CIN@PIT]
  Robert Tonyan — Anytime TD   [CIN@PIT]
  Darius Slayton — Anytime TD   [HOU@IND]
  Darius Slayton — Rec yds 19.5   [HOU@IND]
  Darius Slayton — Receptions 1.5   [HOU@IND]
  David Montgomery — Anytime TD   [HOU@IND]
  David Montgomery — Rec yds 7.5   [HOU@IND]
  David Montgomery — Receptions 1.5   [HOU@IND]
  David Montgomery — Rush att 12.5   [HOU@IND]
  David Montgomery — Rush yds 48.5   [HOU@IND]
  Foster Moreau — Anytime TD   [HOU@IND]
  Kayshon Boutte — Anytime TD   [HOU@IND]
  Kayshon Boutte — Rec yds 35.5   [HOU@IND]
  Kayshon Boutte — Receptions 2.5   [HOU@IND]
  Keenan Allen — Anytime TD   [HOU@IND]
  Keenan Allen — Rec yds 32.5   [HOU@IND]
  Keenan Allen — Receptions 3.5   [HOU@IND]
  Ben VanSumeren — Anytime TD   [KC@MIA]
  Jalen Tolbert — Anytime TD   [KC@MIA]
  Kenneth Walker III — Anytime TD   [KC@MIA]
  Kenneth Walker III — Rec yds 22.5   [KC@MIA]
  Kenneth Walker III — Receptions 3.5   [KC@MIA]
  Kenneth Walker III — Rush att 18.5   [KC@MIA]
  Kenneth Walker III — Rush yds 85.5   [KC@MIA]
  Malik Willis — Anytime TD   [KC@MIA]
  Malik Willis — Completions 16.5   [KC@MIA]
  Malik Willis — Pass att 27.5   [KC@MIA]
  Malik Willis — Pass yds 177.5   [KC@MIA]
  Malik Willis — Rush yds 33.5   [KC@MIA]
  Ryan Miller — Anytime TD   [KC@MIA]
  Alec Ingold — Anytime TD   [LAC@BUF]
  DJ Moore — Anytime TD   [LAC@BUF]
  DJ Moore — Rec yds 48.5   [LAC@BUF]
  DJ Moore — Receptions 3.5   [LAC@BUF]
  Keaton Mitchell — Anytime TD   [LAC@BUF]
  Jaylen Waddle — Anytime TD   [LAR@DEN]
  Jaylen Waddle — Rec yds 58.5   [LAR@DEN]
  Jaylen Waddle — Receptions 4.5   [LAR@DEN]
  Cody White — Anytime TD   [LV@NO]
  Connor Heyward — Anytime TD   [LV@NO]
  Dareke Young — Anytime TD   [LV@NO]
  Jalen Nailor — Anytime TD   [LV@NO]
  Kirk Cousins — Anytime TD   [LV@NO]
  Kirk Cousins — Completions 20.5   [LV@NO]
  Kirk Cousins — Pass att 31.5   [LV@NO]
  Kirk Cousins — Pass yds 211.5   [LV@NO]
  Noah Fant — Anytime TD   [LV@NO]
  Travis Etienne Jr. — Anytime TD   [LV@NO]
  DeeJay Dallas — Anytime TD   [MIN@TB]
  Jauan Jennings — Anytime TD   [MIN@TB]
  Jauan Jennings — Rec yds 14.5   [MIN@TB]
  Jauan Jennings — Receptions 1.5   [MIN@TB]
  Kenny Gainwell — Anytime TD   [MIN@TB]
  Kenny Gainwell — Rec yds 9.5   [MIN@TB]
  Kenny Gainwell — Receptions 1.5   [MIN@TB]
  Kenny Gainwell — Rush yds 16.5   [MIN@TB]
  Kyler Murray — Anytime TD   [MIN@TB]
  Kyler Murray — Completions 19.5   [MIN@TB]
  Kyler Murray — Pass att 30.5   [MIN@TB]
  Kyler Murray — Pass yds 207.5   [MIN@TB]
  Kyler Murray — Rush yds 20.5   [MIN@TB]
  Ameer Abdullah — Anytime TD   [NE@JAX]
  Cameron Latu — Anytime TD   [NE@JAX]
  Chris Rodriguez Jr. — Anytime TD   [NE@JAX]
  Chris Rodriguez Jr. — Rush yds 19.5   [NE@JAX]
  Corey Kiner — Anytime TD   [NE@JAX]
  Reggie Gilliam — Anytime TD   [NE@JAX]
  Romeo Doubs — Anytime TD   [NE@JAX]
  Romeo Doubs — Rec yds 42.5   [NE@JAX]
  Romeo Doubs — Receptions 3.5   [NE@JAX]
  Geno Smith — Anytime TD   [NYJ@DET]
  Geno Smith — Completions 20.5   [NYJ@DET]
  Geno Smith — Pass att 32.5   [NYJ@DET]
  Geno Smith — Pass yds 221.5   [NYJ@DET]
  Sterling Shepard — Anytime TD   [NYJ@DET]
  Tay Martin — Anytime TD   [NYJ@DET]
  Tyler Conklin — Anytime TD   [NYJ@DET]
  Dontayvion Wicks — Anytime TD   [PHI@CHI]
  Dontayvion Wicks — Rec yds 40.5   [PHI@CHI]
  Dontayvion Wicks — Receptions 3.5   [PHI@CHI]
  Elijah Moore — Anytime TD   [PHI@CHI]
  Hollywood Brown — Anytime TD   [PHI@CHI]
  Johnny Mundt — Anytime TD   [PHI@CHI]
  Kalif Raymond — Anytime TD   [PHI@CHI]
  Chig Okonkwo — Anytime TD   [SEA@WSH]
  Dyami Brown — Anytime TD   [SEA@WSH]
  Emanuel Wilson — Anytime TD   [SEA@WSH]
  Rachaad White — Anytime TD   [SEA@WSH]
  Stefon Diggs — Anytime TD   [SEA@WSH]
  Stefon Diggs — Rec yds 34.5   [SEA@WSH]
  Stefon Diggs — Receptions 3.5   [SEA@WSH]
  Braxton Berrios — Anytime TD   [TEN@NYG]
  Daniel Bellinger — Anytime TD   [TEN@NYG]
  Darnell Mooney — Anytime TD   [TEN@NYG]
  Darnell Mooney — Rec yds 15.5   [TEN@NYG]
  Darnell Mooney — Receptions 1.5   [TEN@NYG]
  Isaiah Likely — Anytime TD   [TEN@NYG]
  Isaiah Likely — Rec yds 39.5   [TEN@NYG]
  Isaiah Likely — Receptions 3.5   [TEN@NYG]
  Kylen Granson — Anytime TD   [TEN@NYG]
  Najee Harris — Anytime TD   [TEN@NYG]
  Patrick Ricard — Anytime TD   [TEN@NYG]
  Wan'Dale Robinson — Anytime TD   [TEN@NYG]
  Wan'Dale Robinson — Rec yds 29.5   [TEN@NYG]
  Wan'Dale Robinson — Receptions 3.5   [TEN@NYG]

  — UNDER 3 GAMES —
  Jeremiyah Love — Rush att 11.5   [ARI@SF]
  Jeremiyah Love — Rush yds 37.5   [ARI@SF]
  MarShawn Lloyd — Rec yds 5.5   [ATL@GB]
  MarShawn Lloyd — Receptions 1.5   [ATL@GB]
  MarShawn Lloyd — Rush att 7.5   [ATL@GB]
  MarShawn Lloyd — Rush yds 26.5   [ATL@GB]
  Denzel Boston — Rec yds 45.5   [CAR@CLE]
  Denzel Boston — Receptions 3.5   [CAR@CLE]
  Deshaun Watson — Completions 18.5   [CAR@CLE]
  Deshaun Watson — Pass att 29.5   [CAR@CLE]
  Deshaun Watson — Pass yds 190.5   [CAR@CLE]
  Deshaun Watson — Rush att 5.5   [CAR@CLE]
  Deshaun Watson — Rush yds 25.5   [CAR@CLE]
  KC Concepcion — Rec yds 33.5   [CAR@CLE]
  KC Concepcion — Receptions 3.5   [CAR@CLE]
  KC Concepcion — Rush yds 5.5   [CAR@CLE]
  Emmett Johnson — Rec yds 10.5   [KC@MIA]
  Emmett Johnson — Receptions 1.5   [KC@MIA]
  Emmett Johnson — Rush yds 24.5   [KC@MIA]
  Ted Hurst III — Rec yds 25.5   [MIN@TB]
  Ted Hurst III — Receptions 2.5   [MIN@TB]
  Carnell Tate — Rec yds 36.5   [TEN@NYG]
  Carnell Tate — Receptions 3.5   [TEN@NYG]
  Malachi Fields — Rec yds 23.5   [TEN@NYG]
  Malachi Fields — Receptions 2.5   [TEN@NYG]

  — NO USABLE PRICE —
  Marcus Mariota — Completions 17.5   [SEA@WSH]

  — NO PROJECTION —
  Jacob Cowing — Anytime TD   [ARI@SF]
  Jeremiyah Love — Anytime TD   [ARI@SF]
  Kaelon Black — Anytime TD   [ARI@SF]
  J. Michael Sturdivant — Anytime TD   [ATL@GB]
  MarShawn Lloyd — Anytime TD   [ATL@GB]
  Mark Redman — Anytime TD   [ATL@GB]
  Nick Muse — Anytime TD   [ATL@GB]
  Zachariah Branch — Anytime TD   [ATL@GB]
  Josh Cuevas — Anytime TD   [BAL@DAL]
  Matthew Hibner — Anytime TD   [BAL@DAL]
  Carsen Ryan — Anytime TD   [CAR@CLE]
  Denzel Boston — Anytime TD   [CAR@CLE]
  Deshaun Watson — Anytime TD   [CAR@CLE]
  KC Concepcion — Anytime TD   [CAR@CLE]
  Michael Burton — Anytime TD   [CAR@CLE]
  Colbie Young — Anytime TD   [CIN@PIT]
  Dohnte Meyers — Anytime TD   [CIN@PIT]
  Eli Heidenreich — Anytime TD   [CIN@PIT]
  Erick All — Anytime TD   [CIN@PIT]
  Germie Bernard — Anytime TD   [CIN@PIT]
  Jack Endries — Anytime TD   [CIN@PIT]
  Kaden Wetjen — Anytime TD   [CIN@PIT]
  Riley Nowakowski — Anytime TD   [CIN@PIT]
  Deion Burks — Anytime TD   [HOU@IND]
  Lewis Bond — Anytime TD   [HOU@IND]
  Marlin Klein — Anytime TD   [HOU@IND]
  Seth McGowan — Anytime TD   [HOU@IND]
  Caleb Douglas — Anytime TD   [KC@MIA]
  Chris Bell — Anytime TD   [KC@MIA]
  Cyrus Allen — Anytime TD   [KC@MIA]
  DJ Herman — Anytime TD   [KC@MIA]
  Emmett Johnson — Anytime TD   [KC@MIA]
  Jake Briningstool — Anytime TD   [KC@MIA]
  Kevin Coleman Jr. — Anytime TD   [KC@MIA]
  Seydou Traore — Anytime TD   [KC@MIA]
  Will Kacmarek — Anytime TD   [KC@MIA]
  Brenen Thompson — Anytime TD   [LAC@BUF]
  Jonah Coleman — Anytime TD   [LAR@DEN]
  Barion Brown — Anytime TD   [LV@NO]
  Bryce Lance — Anytime TD   [LV@NO]
  Malik Benson — Anytime TD   [LV@NO]
  Mike Washington Jr. — Anytime TD   [LV@NO]
  Oscar Delp — Anytime TD   [LV@NO]
  Bauer Sharp — Anytime TD   [MIN@TB]
  Demond Claiborne — Anytime TD   [MIN@TB]
  Gavin Bartholomew — Anytime TD   [MIN@TB]
  Max Bredeson — Anytime TD   [MIN@TB]
  Ted Hurst III — Anytime TD   [MIN@TB]
  CJ Williams — Anytime TD   [NE@JAX]
  Eli Raridon — Anytime TD   [NE@JAX]
  Josh Cameron — Anytime TD   [NE@JAX]
  Nate Boerkircher — Anytime TD   [NE@JAX]
  Tanner Arkin — Anytime TD   [NE@JAX]
  Kenyon Sadiq — Anytime TD   [NYJ@DET]
  Makai Lemon — Anytime TD   [PHI@CHI]
  Sam Roush — Anytime TD   [PHI@CHI]
  Zavion Thomas — Anytime TD   [PHI@CHI]
  Antonio Williams — Anytime TD   [SEA@WSH]
  Jadarian Price — Anytime TD   [SEA@WSH]
  Kaytron Allen — Anytime TD   [SEA@WSH]
  Montorie Foster Jr. — Anytime TD   [SEA@WSH]
  Carnell Tate — Anytime TD   [TEN@NYG]
  Malachi Fields — Anytime TD   [TEN@NYG]
  Nicholas Singleton — Anytime TD   [TEN@NYG]
  Odell Beckham Jr. — Anytime TD   [TEN@NYG]

  — LINE OUT OF RANGE —
  Laquon Treadwell — Receptions 1.5   [HOU@IND]
  Matthew Stafford — Rush yds 0.5   [LAR@DEN]

  — THIN EDGE —
  Total 47.5   [ARI@SF]
  Brock Purdy — Completions 20.5   [ARI@SF]
  Jacoby Brissett — Completions 21.5   [ARI@SF]
  Jacoby Brissett — Pass att 32.5   [ARI@SF]
  Jacoby Brissett — Pass yds 225.5   [ARI@SF]
  Moneyline   [ATL@GB]
  Total 43   [ATL@GB]
  Bijan Robinson — Rec yds 39.5   [ATL@GB]
  Drake London — Rec yds 65.5   [ATL@GB]
  Jordan Love — Rush att 2.5   [ATL@GB]
  Jordan Love — Rush yds 7.5   [ATL@GB]
  Michael Penix Jr. — Completions 18.5   [ATL@GB]
  Michael Penix Jr. — Pass att 31.5   [ATL@GB]
  Tucker Kraft — Rec yds 43.5   [ATL@GB]
  Moneyline   [BAL@DAL]
  CeeDee Lamb — Rec yds 81.5   [BAL@DAL]
  Dak Prescott — Completions 25.5   [BAL@DAL]
  Dak Prescott — Pass att 36.5   [BAL@DAL]
  Dak Prescott — Pass yds 262.5   [BAL@DAL]
  Dak Prescott — Rush att 3.5   [BAL@DAL]
  Jake Ferguson — Rec yds 27.5   [BAL@DAL]
  Javonte Williams — Rush yds 58.5   [BAL@DAL]
  Lamar Jackson — Rush att 6.5   [BAL@DAL]
  Zay Flowers — Rec yds 71.5   [BAL@DAL]
  Total 42.5   [CAR@CLE]
  Bryce Young — Completions 19.5   [CAR@CLE]
  Bryce Young — Pass att 33.5   [CAR@CLE]
  Bryce Young — Pass yds 216.5   [CAR@CLE]
  Quinshon Judkins — Rec yds 12.5   [CAR@CLE]
  Quinshon Judkins — Rush att 14.5   [CAR@CLE]
  Tetairoa McMillan — Rec yds 61.5   [CAR@CLE]
  Tommy Tremble — Rec yds 9.5   [CAR@CLE]
  Moneyline   [CIN@PIT]
  Total 42.5   [CIN@PIT]
  Aaron Rodgers — Pass yds 217.5   [CIN@PIT]
  Chase Brown — Rec yds 21.5   [CIN@PIT]
  Chase Brown — Rush yds 63.5   [CIN@PIT]
  DK Metcalf — Rec yds 52.5   [CIN@PIT]
  Ja'Marr Chase — Rec yds 74.5   [CIN@PIT]
  Mike Gesicki — Rec yds 23.5   [CIN@PIT]
  Pat Freiermuth — Rec yds 36.5   [CIN@PIT]
  Tee Higgins — Rec yds 53.5   [CIN@PIT]
  Moneyline   [HOU@IND]
  C.J. Stroud — Completions 20.5   [HOU@IND]
  C.J. Stroud — Pass yds 229.5   [HOU@IND]
  Dalton Schultz — Rec yds 48.5   [HOU@IND]
  Daniel Jones — Completions 21.5   [HOU@IND]
  Daniel Jones — Pass att 32.5   [HOU@IND]
  Daniel Jones — Rush yds 9.5   [HOU@IND]
  Jonathan Taylor — Rush yds 82.5   [HOU@IND]
  Woody Marks — Rec yds 10.5   [HOU@IND]
  Moneyline   [KC@MIA]
  Total 46   [KC@MIA]
  De'Von Achane — Rec yds 26.5   [KC@MIA]
  De'Von Achane — Rush yds 59.5   [KC@MIA]
  Patrick Mahomes — Pass att 30.5   [KC@MIA]
  Patrick Mahomes — Pass yds 234.5   [KC@MIA]
  Patrick Mahomes — Rush att 3.5   [KC@MIA]
  Rashee Rice — Rec yds 47.5   [KC@MIA]
  Travis Kelce — Rec yds 51.5   [KC@MIA]
  Moneyline   [LAC@BUF]
  Total 50.5   [LAC@BUF]
  Dalton Kincaid — Rec yds 54.5   [LAC@BUF]
  James Cook — Rec yds 11.5   [LAC@BUF]
  James Cook — Rush att 16.5   [LAC@BUF]
  Josh Allen — Rush yds 32.5   [LAC@BUF]
  Justin Herbert — Completions 19.5   [LAC@BUF]
  Justin Herbert — Rush yds 19.5   [LAC@BUF]
  Khalil Shakir — Rec yds 39.5   [LAC@BUF]
  Ladd McConkey — Rec yds 51.5   [LAC@BUF]
  Oronde Gadsden II — Rec yds 35.5   [LAC@BUF]
  Quentin Johnston — Rec yds 35.5   [LAC@BUF]
  Total 44.5   [LAR@DEN]
  Blake Corum — Rush yds 46.5   [LAR@DEN]
  Bo Nix — Rush yds 16.5   [LAR@DEN]
  Matthew Stafford — Pass yds 239.5   [LAR@DEN]
  Pat Bryant — Rec yds 24.5   [LAR@DEN]
  Moneyline   [LV@NO]
  Ashton Jeanty — Rec yds 21.5   [LV@NO]
  Brock Bowers — Rec yds 49.5   [LV@NO]
  Chris Olave — Rec yds 79.5   [LV@NO]
  Tre Tucker — Rec yds 40.5   [LV@NO]
  Tyler Shough — Completions 22.5   [LV@NO]
  Tyler Shough — Pass att 33.5   [LV@NO]
  Tyler Shough — Pass yds 249.5   [LV@NO]
  Tyler Shough — Rush yds 14.5   [LV@NO]
  Total 42.5   [MIN@TB]
  Baker Mayfield — Completions 20.5   [MIN@TB]
  Baker Mayfield — Pass yds 214.5   [MIN@TB]
  Bucky Irving — Rush att 15.5   [MIN@TB]
  Bucky Irving — Rush yds 57.5   [MIN@TB]
  Cade Otton — Rec yds 26.5   [MIN@TB]
  Chris Godwin — Rec yds 35.5   [MIN@TB]
  Emeka Egbuka — Rec yds 48.5   [MIN@TB]
  Josh Oliver — Rec yds 11.5   [MIN@TB]
  T.J. Hockenson — Rec yds 29.5   [MIN@TB]
  Moneyline   [NE@JAX]
  Total 45.5   [NE@JAX]
  Brian Thomas Jr — Rec yds 37.5   [NE@JAX]
  Drake Maye — Pass att 30.5   [NE@JAX]
  Drake Maye — Rush yds 25.5   [NE@JAX]
  Hunter Henry — Rec yds 42.5   [NE@JAX]
  Jakobi Meyers — Rec yds 34.5   [NE@JAX]
  Mack Hollins — Rec yds 33.5   [NE@JAX]
  Parker Washington — Rec yds 61.5   [NE@JAX]
  Rhamondre Stevenson — Rush yds 37.5   [NE@JAX]
  TreVeyon Henderson — Rush att 10.5   [NE@JAX]
  Trevor Lawrence — Pass yds 222.5   [NE@JAX]
  Trevor Lawrence — Rush yds 17.5   [NE@JAX]
  Adonai Mitchell — Rec yds 46.5   [NYJ@DET]
  Amon-Ra St. Brown — Rec yds 79.5   [NYJ@DET]
  Breece Hall — Rec yds 21.5   [NYJ@DET]
  Breece Hall — Rush yds 57.5   [NYJ@DET]
  Garrett Wilson — Rec yds 62.5   [NYJ@DET]
  Jahmyr Gibbs — Rec yds 34.5   [NYJ@DET]
  Jahmyr Gibbs — Rush att 17.5   [NYJ@DET]
  Jahmyr Gibbs — Rush yds 87.5   [NYJ@DET]
  Jameson Williams — Rec yds 54.5   [NYJ@DET]
  Jared Goff — Pass att 33.5   [NYJ@DET]
  Sam LaPorta — Rec yds 45.5   [NYJ@DET]
  Moneyline   [PHI@CHI]
  Jalen Hurts — Pass att 28.5   [PHI@CHI]
  Jalen Hurts — Rush att 6.5   [PHI@CHI]
  Jalen Hurts — Rush yds 24.5   [PHI@CHI]
  Total 40.5   [SEA@WSH]
  AJ Barner — Rec yds 21.5   [SEA@WSH]
  Cooper Kupp — Rec yds 21.5   [SEA@WSH]
  Jacory Croskey-Merritt — Rush yds 39.5   [SEA@WSH]
  Jaxon Smith-Njigba — Rec yds 90.5   [SEA@WSH]
  Marcus Mariota — Pass yds 167.5   [SEA@WSH]
  Total 38.5   [TEN@NYG]
  Cam Skattebo — Rush yds 57.5   [TEN@NYG]
  Cam Ward — Completions 17.5   [TEN@NYG]
  Cam Ward — Pass att 31.5   [TEN@NYG]
  Cam Ward — Pass yds 187.5   [TEN@NYG]
  Cam Ward — Rush yds 10.5   [TEN@NYG]
  Gunnar Helm — Rec yds 22.5   [TEN@NYG]
  Jameis Winston — Rush yds 5.5   [TEN@NYG]
  Tony Pollard — Rush yds 45.5   [TEN@NYG]
  Tyjae Spears — Rush yds 19.5   [TEN@NYG]

  — MUTED TD —
  Bam Knight — Anytime TD   [ARI@SF]
  Brayden Willis — Anytime TD   [ARI@SF]
  Brock Purdy — Anytime TD   [ARI@SF]
  Christian McCaffrey — Anytime TD   [ARI@SF]
  Elijah Higgins — Anytime TD   [ARI@SF]
  George Kittle — Anytime TD   [ARI@SF]
  Jacoby Brissett — Anytime TD   [ARI@SF]
  Jalen Brooks — Anytime TD   [ARI@SF]
  Jordan Watkins — Anytime TD   [ARI@SF]
  Kyle Juszczyk — Anytime TD   [ARI@SF]
  Luke Farrell — Anytime TD   [ARI@SF]
  Marvin Harrison Jr. — Anytime TD   [ARI@SF]
  Michael Wilson — Anytime TD   [ARI@SF]
  Simi Fehoko — Anytime TD   [ARI@SF]
  Trey McBride — Anytime TD   [ARI@SF]
  Bijan Robinson — Anytime TD   [ATL@GB]
  Bo Melton — Anytime TD   [ATL@GB]
  Charlie Woerner — Anytime TD   [ATL@GB]
  Chris Blair — Anytime TD   [ATL@GB]
  Chris Brooks — Anytime TD   [ATL@GB]
  Christian Watson — Anytime TD   [ATL@GB]
  Drake London — Anytime TD   [ATL@GB]
  Jordan Love — Anytime TD   [ATL@GB]
  Josh Whyle — Anytime TD   [ATL@GB]
  Kyle Pitts — Anytime TD   [ATL@GB]
  Matthew Golden — Anytime TD   [ATL@GB]
  Michael Penix Jr. — Anytime TD   [ATL@GB]
  Tucker Kraft — Anytime TD   [ATL@GB]
  Brevyn Spann-Ford — Anytime TD   [BAL@DAL]
  CeeDee Lamb — Anytime TD   [BAL@DAL]
  Dak Prescott — Anytime TD   [BAL@DAL]
  Derrick Henry — Anytime TD   [BAL@DAL]
  Devontez Walker — Anytime TD   [BAL@DAL]
  George Pickens — Anytime TD   [BAL@DAL]
  Hunter Luepke — Anytime TD   [BAL@DAL]
  Jake Ferguson — Anytime TD   [BAL@DAL]
  Javonte Williams — Anytime TD   [BAL@DAL]
  Jonathan Mingo — Anytime TD   [BAL@DAL]
  Justice Hill — Anytime TD   [BAL@DAL]
  KaVontae Turpin — Anytime TD   [BAL@DAL]
  LaJohntay Wester — Anytime TD   [BAL@DAL]
  Lamar Jackson — Anytime TD   [BAL@DAL]
  Luke Schoonmaker — Anytime TD   [BAL@DAL]
  Mark Andrews — Anytime TD   [BAL@DAL]
  Rasheen Ali — Anytime TD   [BAL@DAL]
  Rashod Bateman — Anytime TD   [BAL@DAL]
  Ryan Flournoy — Anytime TD   [BAL@DAL]
  Zay Flowers — Anytime TD   [BAL@DAL]
  Blake Whiteheart — Anytime TD   [CAR@CLE]
  Bryce Young — Anytime TD   [CAR@CLE]
  Brycen Tremayne — Anytime TD   [CAR@CLE]
  Chuba Hubbard — Anytime TD   [CAR@CLE]
  Harold Fannin Jr. — Anytime TD   [CAR@CLE]
  Isaiah Bond — Anytime TD   [CAR@CLE]
  Ja'Tavion Sanders — Anytime TD   [CAR@CLE]
  Jalen Coker — Anytime TD   [CAR@CLE]
  Jerry Jeudy — Anytime TD   [CAR@CLE]
  Malachi Corley — Anytime TD   [CAR@CLE]
  Mitchell Evans — Anytime TD   [CAR@CLE]
  Quinshon Judkins — Anytime TD   [CAR@CLE]
  Raheim Sanders — Anytime TD   [CAR@CLE]
  Tetairoa McMillan — Anytime TD   [CAR@CLE]
  Tommy Tremble — Anytime TD   [CAR@CLE]
  Xavier Legette — Anytime TD   [CAR@CLE]
  Aaron Rodgers — Anytime TD   [CIN@PIT]
  Ben Skowronek — Anytime TD   [CIN@PIT]
  Chase Brown — Anytime TD   [CIN@PIT]
  DK Metcalf — Anytime TD   [CIN@PIT]
  Darnell Washington — Anytime TD   [CIN@PIT]
  Drew Sample — Anytime TD   [CIN@PIT]
  Ja'Marr Chase — Anytime TD   [CIN@PIT]
  Jaylen Warren — Anytime TD   [CIN@PIT]
  Joe Burrow — Anytime TD   [CIN@PIT]
  Ke'Shawn Williams — Anytime TD   [CIN@PIT]
  Mike Gesicki — Anytime TD   [CIN@PIT]
  Pat Freiermuth — Anytime TD   [CIN@PIT]
  Roman Wilson — Anytime TD   [CIN@PIT]
  Samaje Perine — Anytime TD   [CIN@PIT]
  Tahj Brooks — Anytime TD   [CIN@PIT]
  Tee Higgins — Anytime TD   [CIN@PIT]
  Ashton Dulin — Anytime TD   [HOU@IND]
  British Brooks — Anytime TD   [HOU@IND]
  C.J. Stroud — Anytime TD   [HOU@IND]
  Cade Stover — Anytime TD   [HOU@IND]
  DJ Giddens — Anytime TD   [HOU@IND]
  Dalton Schultz — Anytime TD   [HOU@IND]
  Daniel Jones — Anytime TD   [HOU@IND]
  Drew Ogletree — Anytime TD   [HOU@IND]
  Jared Wayne — Anytime TD   [HOU@IND]
  Jaylin Noel — Anytime TD   [HOU@IND]
  Jonathan Taylor — Anytime TD   [HOU@IND]
  Josh Downs — Anytime TD   [HOU@IND]
  Laquon Treadwell — Anytime TD   [HOU@IND]
  Mo Alie-Cox — Anytime TD   [HOU@IND]
  Tyler Warren — Anytime TD   [HOU@IND]
  Woody Marks — Anytime TD   [HOU@IND]
  Xavier Hutchinson — Anytime TD   [HOU@IND]
  Brashard Smith — Anytime TD   [KC@MIA]
  De'Von Achane — Anytime TD   [KC@MIA]
  Greg Dulcich — Anytime TD   [KC@MIA]
  Jalen Royals — Anytime TD   [KC@MIA]
  Jaylen Wright — Anytime TD   [KC@MIA]
  Malik Washington — Anytime TD   [KC@MIA]
  Nikko Remigio — Anytime TD   [KC@MIA]
  Noah Gray — Anytime TD   [KC@MIA]
  Ollie Gordon II — Anytime TD   [KC@MIA]
  Patrick Mahomes — Anytime TD   [KC@MIA]
  Rashee Rice — Anytime TD   [KC@MIA]
  Travis Kelce — Anytime TD   [KC@MIA]
  Tyquan Thornton — Anytime TD   [KC@MIA]
  Xavier Worthy — Anytime TD   [KC@MIA]
  Dalton Kincaid — Anytime TD   [LAC@BUF]
  Dawson Knox — Anytime TD   [LAC@BUF]
  Derius Davis — Anytime TD   [LAC@BUF]
  Jackson Hawes — Anytime TD   [LAC@BUF]
  James Cook — Anytime TD   [LAC@BUF]
  Josh Allen — Anytime TD   [LAC@BUF]
  Joshua Palmer — Anytime TD   [LAC@BUF]
  Justin Herbert — Anytime TD   [LAC@BUF]
  Keleki Latu — Anytime TD   [LAC@BUF]
  Keon Coleman — Anytime TD   [LAC@BUF]
  Khalil Shakir — Anytime TD   [LAC@BUF]
  Kimani Vidal — Anytime TD   [LAC@BUF]
  Ladd McConkey — Anytime TD   [LAC@BUF]
  Omarion Hampton — Anytime TD   [LAC@BUF]
  Oronde Gadsden II — Anytime TD   [LAC@BUF]
  Quentin Johnston — Anytime TD   [LAC@BUF]
  Ray Davis — Anytime TD   [LAC@BUF]
  Tre Harris — Anytime TD   [LAC@BUF]
  Ty Johnson — Anytime TD   [LAC@BUF]
  Adam Trautman — Anytime TD   [LAR@DEN]
  Blake Corum — Anytime TD   [LAR@DEN]
  Bo Nix — Anytime TD   [LAR@DEN]
  Colby Parkinson — Anytime TD   [LAR@DEN]
  Courtland Sutton — Anytime TD   [LAR@DEN]
  Davante Adams — Anytime TD   [LAR@DEN]
  Davis Allen — Anytime TD   [LAR@DEN]
  Evan Engram — Anytime TD   [LAR@DEN]
  J.K. Dobbins — Anytime TD   [LAR@DEN]
  Konata Mumpfield — Anytime TD   [LAR@DEN]
  Kyren Williams — Anytime TD   [LAR@DEN]
  Marvin Mims Jr. — Anytime TD   [LAR@DEN]
  Matthew Stafford — Anytime TD   [LAR@DEN]
  Nate Adkins — Anytime TD   [LAR@DEN]
  Pat Bryant — Anytime TD   [LAR@DEN]
  Puka Nacua — Anytime TD   [LAR@DEN]
  RJ Harvey — Anytime TD   [LAR@DEN]
  Ronnie Rivers — Anytime TD   [LAR@DEN]
  Terrance Ferguson — Anytime TD   [LAR@DEN]
  Troy Franklin — Anytime TD   [LAR@DEN]
  Tutu Atwell — Anytime TD   [LAR@DEN]
  Tyler Higbee — Anytime TD   [LAR@DEN]
  Xavier Smith — Anytime TD   [LAR@DEN]
  Alvin Kamara — Anytime TD   [LV@NO]
  Ashton Jeanty — Anytime TD   [LV@NO]
  Brock Bowers — Anytime TD   [LV@NO]
  Chris Olave — Anytime TD   [LV@NO]
  Devaughn Vele — Anytime TD   [LV@NO]
  Dylan Laube — Anytime TD   [LV@NO]
  Ian Thomas — Anytime TD   [LV@NO]
  Jack Bech — Anytime TD   [LV@NO]
  Juwan Johnson — Anytime TD   [LV@NO]
  Kendre Miller — Anytime TD   [LV@NO]
  Kevin Austin — Anytime TD   [LV@NO]
  Michael Mayer — Anytime TD   [LV@NO]
  Tre Tucker — Anytime TD   [LV@NO]
  Tyler Shough — Anytime TD   [LV@NO]
  Aaron Jones — Anytime TD   [MIN@TB]
  Baker Mayfield — Anytime TD   [MIN@TB]
  Bucky Irving — Anytime TD   [MIN@TB]
  Cade Otton — Anytime TD   [MIN@TB]
  Chris Godwin — Anytime TD   [MIN@TB]
  Emeka Egbuka — Anytime TD   [MIN@TB]
  Jalen McMillan — Anytime TD   [MIN@TB]
  Jordan Addison — Anytime TD   [MIN@TB]
  Josh Oliver — Anytime TD   [MIN@TB]
  Justin Jefferson — Anytime TD   [MIN@TB]
  Kameron Johnson — Anytime TD   [MIN@TB]
  Ko Kieft — Anytime TD   [MIN@TB]
  Myles Price — Anytime TD   [MIN@TB]
  Payne Durham — Anytime TD   [MIN@TB]
  Sean Tucker — Anytime TD   [MIN@TB]
  T.J. Hockenson — Anytime TD   [MIN@TB]
  Tai Felton — Anytime TD   [MIN@TB]
  Tez Johnson — Anytime TD   [MIN@TB]
  Bhayshul Tuten — Anytime TD   [NE@JAX]
  Brenton Strange — Anytime TD   [NE@JAX]
  Brian Thomas Jr — Anytime TD   [NE@JAX]
  DeMario Douglas — Anytime TD   [NE@JAX]
  Drake Maye — Anytime TD   [NE@JAX]
  Efton Chism III — Anytime TD   [NE@JAX]
  Hunter Henry — Anytime TD   [NE@JAX]
  Jakobi Meyers — Anytime TD   [NE@JAX]
  Kyle Williams — Anytime TD   [NE@JAX]
  LeQuint Allen Jr. — Anytime TD   [NE@JAX]
  Mack Hollins — Anytime TD   [NE@JAX]
  Parker Washington — Anytime TD   [NE@JAX]
  Quintin Morris — Anytime TD   [NE@JAX]
  Rhamondre Stevenson — Anytime TD   [NE@JAX]
  Travis Hunter — Anytime TD   [NE@JAX]
  TreVeyon Henderson — Anytime TD   [NE@JAX]
  Trevor Lawrence — Anytime TD   [NE@JAX]
  Adonai Mitchell — Anytime TD   [NYJ@DET]
  Amon-Ra St. Brown — Anytime TD   [NYJ@DET]
  Andrew Beck — Anytime TD   [NYJ@DET]
  Braelon Allen — Anytime TD   [NYJ@DET]
  Breece Hall — Anytime TD   [NYJ@DET]
  Brock Wright — Anytime TD   [NYJ@DET]
  Garrett Wilson — Anytime TD   [NYJ@DET]
  Isaac TeSlaa — Anytime TD   [NYJ@DET]
  Isaiah Davis — Anytime TD   [NYJ@DET]
  Isaiah Williams — Anytime TD   [NYJ@DET]
  Jackson Meeks — Anytime TD   [NYJ@DET]
  Jacob Saylors — Anytime TD   [NYJ@DET]
  Jahmyr Gibbs — Anytime TD   [NYJ@DET]
  Jameson Williams — Anytime TD   [NYJ@DET]
  Jared Goff — Anytime TD   [NYJ@DET]
  Jelani Woods — Anytime TD   [NYJ@DET]
  Jeremy Ruckert — Anytime TD   [NYJ@DET]
  Mason Taylor — Anytime TD   [NYJ@DET]
  Sam LaPorta — Anytime TD   [NYJ@DET]
  Sione Vaki — Anytime TD   [NYJ@DET]
  Tom Kennedy — Anytime TD   [NYJ@DET]
  Britain Covey — Anytime TD   [PHI@CHI]
  Cole Kmet — Anytime TD   [PHI@CHI]
  Colston Loveland — Anytime TD   [PHI@CHI]
  D'Andre Swift — Anytime TD   [PHI@CHI]
  Darius Cooper — Anytime TD   [PHI@CHI]
  DeVonta Smith — Anytime TD   [PHI@CHI]
  E.J. Jenkins — Anytime TD   [PHI@CHI]
  Jahdae Walker — Anytime TD   [PHI@CHI]
  Jalen Hurts — Anytime TD   [PHI@CHI]
  Kyle Monangai — Anytime TD   [PHI@CHI]
  Luther Burden III — Anytime TD   [PHI@CHI]
  Rome Odunze — Anytime TD   [PHI@CHI]
  Roschon Johnson — Anytime TD   [PHI@CHI]
  Saquon Barkley — Anytime TD   [PHI@CHI]
  Tank Bigsby — Anytime TD   [PHI@CHI]
  Tyson Bagent — Anytime TD   [PHI@CHI]
  Will Shipley — Anytime TD   [PHI@CHI]
  AJ Barner — Anytime TD   [SEA@WSH]
  Ben Sinnott — Anytime TD   [SEA@WSH]
  Brady Russell — Anytime TD   [SEA@WSH]
  Colson Yankoff — Anytime TD   [SEA@WSH]
  Cooper Kupp — Anytime TD   [SEA@WSH]
  Drew Lock — Anytime TD   [SEA@WSH]
  Elijah Arroyo — Anytime TD   [SEA@WSH]
  Eric Saubert — Anytime TD   [SEA@WSH]
  George Holani — Anytime TD   [SEA@WSH]
  Jacory Croskey-Merritt — Anytime TD   [SEA@WSH]
  Jaxon Smith-Njigba — Anytime TD   [SEA@WSH]
  Jaylin Lane — Anytime TD   [SEA@WSH]
  John Bates — Anytime TD   [SEA@WSH]
  Luke McCaffrey — Anytime TD   [SEA@WSH]
  Marcus Mariota — Anytime TD   [SEA@WSH]
  Nick Kallerup — Anytime TD   [SEA@WSH]
  Rashid Shaheed — Anytime TD   [SEA@WSH]
  Terry McLaurin — Anytime TD   [SEA@WSH]
  Tory Horton — Anytime TD   [SEA@WSH]
  Treylon Burks — Anytime TD   [SEA@WSH]
  Calvin Ridley — Anytime TD   [TEN@NYG]
  Cam Skattebo — Anytime TD   [TEN@NYG]
  Cam Ward — Anytime TD   [TEN@NYG]
  Chimere Dike — Anytime TD   [TEN@NYG]
  Chris Manhertz — Anytime TD   [TEN@NYG]
  David Martin-Robinson — Anytime TD   [TEN@NYG]
  Devin Singletary — Anytime TD   [TEN@NYG]
  Elic Ayomanor — Anytime TD   [TEN@NYG]
  Gunnar Helm — Anytime TD   [TEN@NYG]
  Jameis Winston — Anytime TD   [TEN@NYG]
  Julius Chestnut — Anytime TD   [TEN@NYG]
  Malik Nabers — Anytime TD   [TEN@NYG]
  Theo Johnson — Anytime TD   [TEN@NYG]
  Tony Pollard — Anytime TD   [TEN@NYG]
  Tyjae Spears — Anytime TD   [TEN@NYG]
  Tyrone Tracy Jr. — Anytime TD   [TEN@NYG]

  — MUTED RECEPTIONS —
  Marvin Harrison Jr. — Receptions 2.5   [ARI@SF]
  Michael Wilson — Receptions 3.5   [ARI@SF]
  Trey McBride — Receptions 7.5   [ARI@SF]
  Bijan Robinson — Receptions 4.5   [ATL@GB]
  Chris Brooks — Receptions 1.5   [ATL@GB]
  Christian Watson — Receptions 4.5   [ATL@GB]
  Drake London — Receptions 5.5   [ATL@GB]
  Kyle Pitts — Receptions 3.5   [ATL@GB]
  Matthew Golden — Receptions 4.5   [ATL@GB]
  Tucker Kraft — Receptions 3.5   [ATL@GB]
  CeeDee Lamb — Receptions 6.5   [BAL@DAL]
  George Pickens — Receptions 5.5   [BAL@DAL]
  Jake Ferguson — Receptions 3.5   [BAL@DAL]
  Javonte Williams — Receptions 2.5   [BAL@DAL]
  Zay Flowers — Receptions 5.5   [BAL@DAL]
  Chuba Hubbard — Receptions 2.5   [CAR@CLE]
  Harold Fannin Jr. — Receptions 3.5   [CAR@CLE]
  Jalen Coker — Receptions 5.5   [CAR@CLE]
  Jerry Jeudy — Receptions 1.5   [CAR@CLE]
  Quinshon Judkins — Receptions 2.5   [CAR@CLE]
  Tetairoa McMillan — Receptions 4.5   [CAR@CLE]
  Tommy Tremble — Receptions 1.5   [CAR@CLE]
  Xavier Legette — Receptions 1.5   [CAR@CLE]
  Chase Brown — Receptions 3.5   [CIN@PIT]
  DK Metcalf — Receptions 4.5   [CIN@PIT]
  Ja'Marr Chase — Receptions 6.5   [CIN@PIT]
  Mike Gesicki — Receptions 2.5   [CIN@PIT]
  Pat Freiermuth — Receptions 3.5   [CIN@PIT]
  Tee Higgins — Receptions 4.5   [CIN@PIT]
  Dalton Schultz — Receptions 5.5   [HOU@IND]
  Jared Wayne — Receptions 1.5   [HOU@IND]
  Jaylin Noel — Receptions 2.5   [HOU@IND]
  Jonathan Taylor — Receptions 2.5   [HOU@IND]
  Josh Downs — Receptions 4.5   [HOU@IND]
  Tyler Warren — Receptions 4.5   [HOU@IND]
  Woody Marks — Receptions 1.5   [HOU@IND]
  Xavier Hutchinson — Receptions 3.5   [HOU@IND]
  De'Von Achane — Receptions 3.5   [KC@MIA]
  Rashee Rice — Receptions 4.5   [KC@MIA]
  Travis Kelce — Receptions 4.5   [KC@MIA]
  Tyquan Thornton — Receptions 1.5   [KC@MIA]
  Xavier Worthy — Receptions 3.5   [KC@MIA]
  Dalton Kincaid — Receptions 4.5   [LAC@BUF]
  James Cook — Receptions 1.5   [LAC@BUF]
  Khalil Shakir — Receptions 3.5   [LAC@BUF]
  Ladd McConkey — Receptions 4.5   [LAC@BUF]
  Omarion Hampton — Receptions 1.5   [LAC@BUF]
  Oronde Gadsden II — Receptions 3.5   [LAC@BUF]
  Quentin Johnston — Receptions 3.5   [LAC@BUF]
  Tre Harris — Receptions 2.5   [LAC@BUF]
  Courtland Sutton — Receptions 3.5   [LAR@DEN]
  Evan Engram — Receptions 2.5   [LAR@DEN]
  Pat Bryant — Receptions 2.5   [LAR@DEN]
  Ashton Jeanty — Receptions 3.5   [LV@NO]
  Brock Bowers — Receptions 4.5   [LV@NO]
  Chris Olave — Receptions 6.5   [LV@NO]
  Devaughn Vele — Receptions 4.5   [LV@NO]
  Juwan Johnson — Receptions 3.5   [LV@NO]
  Tre Tucker — Receptions 3.5   [LV@NO]
  Bucky Irving — Receptions 2.5   [MIN@TB]
  Cade Otton — Receptions 3.5   [MIN@TB]
  Chris Godwin — Receptions 3.5   [MIN@TB]
  Emeka Egbuka — Receptions 4.5   [MIN@TB]
  Jalen McMillan — Receptions 1.5   [MIN@TB]
  Jordan Addison — Receptions 3.5   [MIN@TB]
  Josh Oliver — Receptions 1.5   [MIN@TB]
  Justin Jefferson — Receptions 5.5   [MIN@TB]
  T.J. Hockenson — Receptions 3.5   [MIN@TB]
  Bhayshul Tuten — Receptions 1.5   [NE@JAX]
  Brenton Strange — Receptions 2.5   [NE@JAX]
  Brian Thomas Jr — Receptions 2.5   [NE@JAX]
  DeMario Douglas — Receptions 2.5   [NE@JAX]
  Hunter Henry — Receptions 3.5   [NE@JAX]
  Jakobi Meyers — Receptions 3.5   [NE@JAX]
  Mack Hollins — Receptions 2.5   [NE@JAX]
  Parker Washington — Receptions 4.5   [NE@JAX]
  Rhamondre Stevenson — Receptions 2.5   [NE@JAX]
  TreVeyon Henderson — Receptions 1.5   [NE@JAX]
  Adonai Mitchell — Receptions 3.5   [NYJ@DET]
  Amon-Ra St. Brown — Receptions 7.5   [NYJ@DET]
  Breece Hall — Receptions 3.5   [NYJ@DET]
  Garrett Wilson — Receptions 5.5   [NYJ@DET]
  Jahmyr Gibbs — Receptions 4.5   [NYJ@DET]
  Jameson Williams — Receptions 3.5   [NYJ@DET]
  Sam LaPorta — Receptions 4.5   [NYJ@DET]
  DeVonta Smith — Receptions 5.5   [PHI@CHI]
  Saquon Barkley — Receptions 2.5   [PHI@CHI]
  AJ Barner — Receptions 2.5   [SEA@WSH]
  Cooper Kupp — Receptions 2.5   [SEA@WSH]
  Jaxon Smith-Njigba — Receptions 6.5   [SEA@WSH]
  Rashid Shaheed — Receptions 2.5   [SEA@WSH]
  Terry McLaurin — Receptions 3.5   [SEA@WSH]
  Calvin Ridley — Receptions 1.5   [TEN@NYG]
  Cam Skattebo — Receptions 2.5   [TEN@NYG]
  Elic Ayomanor — Receptions 1.5   [TEN@NYG]
  Gunnar Helm — Receptions 2.5   [TEN@NYG]
  Malik Nabers — Receptions 4.5   [TEN@NYG]

THE HONEST RANGE
  Simulated 10,000 times, one unit a pick,
  141 picks across 16 games, every pick above.

  A typical week      +10.91u
  Good week  (top 5%) +28.48u
  Bad week (worst 5%) -7.76u
  Week loses money    18% of the time

  Even a real edge loses money in plenty of weeks. This range is
  published so nobody has to take a good or bad week as a verdict.

----------------------------------------------------------
  THE PAPER TRAIL · @PaperTrailPicks
  Every pick, every refusal, hash-committed pre-kickoff.
  Not betting advice. For entertainment purposes.
==========================================================